Sportivo San Lorenzo - 2 de Mayo prediction 10/09/2026

This Sportivo San Lorenzo vs 2 de Mayo prediction looks at the Primera Division match on Sep 10 at 15:00. Based on the stats, 2 de Mayo is the favorite with a 52% win probability, while Sportivo San Lorenzo has a 24% chance and the draw sits at 24%.

Team Form

Sportivo San Lorenzo comes into this match in poor shape. They have lost their last five matches in a row. The recent results include a 2-1 home loss to 2 de Mayo on Sep 05, a 3-1 away loss to Rubio Nu, and a 3-0 home loss to Nacional Asuncion. They also lost 1-0 away to Club Libertad Asuncion and 1-0 away to Cerro Porteno. The team has struggled to score and has conceded many goals.

2 de Mayo has been much more consistent. In their last five matches, they have three wins and two draws. They beat Sportivo San Lorenzo 2-1 away on Sep 05, drew 2-2 at home with Sportivo Luqueno, and won 1-0 away against Sportivo Trinidense. They also drew 0-0 at home with Guarani Asuncion and won 2-1 away against Deportivo Recoleta. Their away form looks strong.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between these two teams shows 5 wins for Sportivo San Lorenzo, 1 draw, and 3 wins for 2 de Mayo. The most recent match was just a few days ago on Sep 05, where 2 de Mayo won 2-1 away. Before that, Sportivo San Lorenzo won 1-0 away on May 22. The match on Mar 17 ended in a 1-1 draw. In 2023, they met twice in the Segunda Division, with 2 de Mayo winning one and Sportivo San Lorenzo winning the other. The recent H2H gives a slight edge to 2 de Mayo.

League Table Positions

In the Primera Division overall standings, 2 de Mayo is in 10th place with 22 points from 22 matches. They have 5 wins, 7 draws, and 10 losses, with 18 goals scored and 35 conceded. Sportivo San Lorenzo is at the bottom in 12th place with 15 points from 22 matches. They have only 3 wins, 6 draws, and 13 losses, scoring just 14 goals and conceding 41. The away table shows 2 de Mayo in 5th place with 12 points from 11 away games. Sportivo San Lorenzo does not appear in the top 8 of the home table, which highlights their struggles at home.

Win Probability: Sportivo San Lorenzo or 2 de Mayo?

Based on the available odds, team form, head-to-head record, and league table positions, we calculate the win probability as follows: 2 de Mayo has a 52% chance of winning, the draw is at 24%, and Sportivo San Lorenzo has a 24% chance. The odds imply a tight match, but 2 de Mayo's strong away form and Sportivo San Lorenzo's five-match losing streak tip the balance. The head-to-head also favors the away side after the recent 2-1 result. Sportivo San Lorenzo's home record is weak, and they are at the bottom of the overall table. All signs point to 2 de Mayo being the more likely winner.

Odds & Match Prediction

The bookmakers' odds for this match are: home win at 3.90, draw at 2.05, and away win at 2.62. The low draw odds suggest the bookmakers see a close contest, but the away win odds still make 2 de Mayo the favorite. Our Sportivo San Lorenzo vs 2 de Mayo prediction is an away win for 2 de Mayo. The stats support this pick - 2 de Mayo is in better form, has a better league position, and just beat this opponent a few days ago. For betting tips, the away win offers value, and the under 2.5 goals market could also be worth a look given the low scoring records of both teams.