The Primera Division 26/27 season in Paraguay is in full flow, with 21 matchdays already played and a clear pattern at the top and bottom of the table. Club Libertad Asuncion came into the campaign as the reigning champions, but right now Olimpia are setting the pace. This page covers the latest Primera Division table, key Primera Division stats, title favorites, and match predictions based on current form and hard numbers.
Primera Division Table
Olimpia sit at the summit of the Primera Division table with 46 points from 21 matches, having won 14, drawn 4, and lost only 3. Their goal difference of plus-19 (35 scored, 16 conceded) shows they are solid at both ends. The chasing pack is led by Nacional Asuncion with 36 points and Cerro Porteno on 35. That leaves a 10-point gap to second place, which is a big cushion at this stage of the season.
Looking at the race for the top spots, Sportivo Ameliano hold fourth with 33 points, while Club Libertad Asuncion are fifth on 31 – a slow start for the last season winner. Guarani Asuncion and Sportivo Trinidense are both on 29 points, only two points behind Libertad, so the battle for a top-half finish is wide open. At the other end, the relegation pressure is real for teams lower in the standings, though the league's drop zone can shift quickly with 15 teams fighting over a full season.
Favorites & Title Chances
Based on current positions, points gaps, and recent results, here is our probability assessment for the Primera Division 26/27 title race. Olimpia hold around a 70% chance to lift the trophy. Their points lead over Nacional Asuncion is already 10, they have the best defense in the league, and a win rate above 66%. Barring a sudden collapse, they are the clear Primera Division favorites.
Nacional Asuncion have roughly a 15% title chance. They are hard to beat – only three losses in 21 games – but nine draws have cost them ground, and they need to turn those single points into wins to close the gap. Cerro Porteno are assigned around a 10% chance. With 35 points and a positive goal difference, they have the quality to push, but inconsistency (six defeats) makes a title charge unlikely unless Olimpia slip up multiple times. The remaining probability goes to the field, with Sportivo Ameliano and Club Libertad Asuncion needing a near-perfect run-in.
Season Stats
The 15-team league has delivered 159 finished events so far, with an average of 2.43 goals per game. Club Libertad Asuncion are the most successful team historically in the data, but this season Olimpia's numbers are the standout: 1.67 goals scored on average per match and only 0.76 conceded. Recent results back this up. In the latest round of fixtures, Cerro Porteno beat Nacional Asuncion 1-0, Sportivo Ameliano won 2-1 away at Sportivo Luqueno, and 2 de Mayo edged Sportivo San Lorenzo 2-1 on the road.
Top individual performers and the official top scorers list will update as the season progresses, but the overall attacking output of 2.43 goals per game means fans regularly see over 2.5 goals in Primera Division fixtures – a key stat for anyone checking match predictions and odds.
Primera Division Match Predictions
Our Primera Division predictions are built from real stats: league position, recent form, goals for and against, and the schedule. We treat every fixture as a probability puzzle and assign outcome chances – home win, draw, away win – so you can compare them with available odds. Upcoming matches already on the calendar include Rubio Nu against Nacional Asuncion on Sep 13. With Nacional Asuncion sitting second and chasing Olimpia, they will be favorites on paper, but away games in this league are rarely straightforward.
If you track Primera Division results week by week, you will notice that even top sides drop points. That is why predictions factor in more than just the table – we look at fatigue, travel between cities like Asuncion and Luque, and how teams perform in short turnaround matchdays. Check back before every kickoff for updated Primera Division predictions and live odds.