Academica Coimbra - Benfica B prediction 13/09/2026

Academica Coimbra vs Benfica B prediction for the Segunda Liga match on Sep 11, 2026, at 19:45. Based on the stats, Academica Coimbra is the slight favorite with a 48% win probability, while Benfica B has a 27% chance and the draw sits at 25%.

Team Form

Academica Coimbra comes into this match with three wins and two losses in their last five games. Their most recent result was a 4-1 away loss against Penafiel on Sep 05. Before that, they lost 0-2 at home to Lusitania Lourosa on Aug 29. The three wins were a 2-0 away victory at Tondela on Aug 21, a 1-0 home win against СВ Feirense on Aug 14, and a 4-1 away win at Chaves on Aug 08.

Benfica B also has a mixed recent record with two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five. They lost 0-2 at home to SCU Torreense on Sep 05 and lost 1-0 away to Amarante on Aug 30. Their wins were a 2-1 away result at Uniao Leiria on Aug 15 and a 1-0 home win against Leixoes on Aug 10. They drew 1-1 at home with Portimonense on Aug 21.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between these two teams is very close. In the last 14 meetings, Academica Coimbra has 5 wins, Benfica B has 4 wins, and there have been 5 draws. The most recent match was on Oct 23, 2021, when Benfica B won 3-1 at home. Before that, on May 16, 2021, Academica Coimbra won 1-0 at home. The three matches before that included two draws and one Academica Coimbra win. The H2H stats suggest a tight contest is likely again.

League Table Positions

In the Segunda Liga standings, Academica Coimbra is 6th with 9 points from 5 matches, scoring 8 goals and conceding 7. Benfica B is 10th with 7 points from 5 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 5. Academica Coimbra has been strong away from home this season, sitting 3rd in the away table with 6 points from 3 away games. Benfica B's home form has been less reliable, which could be a factor even though this match is at a neutral venue or as scheduled.

Win Probability: Academica Coimbra or Benfica B?

Based on the available odds, team form, and head-to-head record, we calculate the win probability as follows: Academica Coimbra has a 48% chance to win, the draw is at 25%, and Benfica B has a 27% chance. The odds imply a tight match, with the bookmakers' average home win odds around 2.29, draw at 2.12, and away win at 3.12. After removing the margin, the implied probabilities are close to these numbers. Academica Coimbra's slightly better league position and stronger recent away performances give them the edge, but Benfica B's H2H record shows they can compete. The most likely outcome is an Academica Coimbra win, but a draw is a real possibility.

Odds & Match Prediction

The available odds for this match show Academica Coimbra as the favorite. The best home win odds are around 2.32, the draw is at 2.10, and an away win for Benfica B is at 3.15. These odds reflect the close nature of this fixture. Our Academica Coimbra vs Benfica B prediction is a home win, but with caution. Based on the stats, betting tips would point to the double chance for Academica Coimbra or draw as a safer option. The head-to-head record and recent form suggest a low-scoring match, so under 2.5 goals could also be worth considering.