Afumati - Stefanestii de Jos prediction 11/10/2026

Afumati vs Stefanestii de Jos prediction for the Liga II match on 11 de outubro de 2026, às 05:00. Based on our win probability analysis, Afumati is the clear favorite with a 75% chance to win, while Stefanestii de Jos has only a 7% chance. The draw is at 18%. This betting tips preview covers team form, head-to-head record, league table positions, and the latest odds to help you decide who will win.

Team Form

Afumati comes into this match with solid recent results. In their last five games, they have three wins, one draw, and one loss. The sequence was L, W, D, W, W. They beat CSM Olimpia Satu Mare (2-0), Concordia Chiajna (2-1), and Unirea Slobozia (2-1), drew 2-2 with ACS Targu Mures 1898, and lost a friendly to Petrolul Ploiesti (3-2). That form shows they are capable of scoring and picking up points consistently.

Stefanestii de Jos, on the other hand, is in terrible shape. Their last five matches all ended in defeat: L, L, L, L, L. They lost to CSA Steaua (4-1), Metaloglobus (1-0), SSU Politehnica Timisoara (2-1), Gloria Bistrita (2-1), and FC Bihor Oradea (4-0). The team has struggled both defensively and offensively, failing to get a single point in this run.

Head-to-Head Record

There is no head-to-head history between Afumati and Stefanestii de Jos. This will be their first meeting, so we have no direct H2H data to factor into the prediction. All analysis relies on current form and league standings.

League Table Positions

Afumati sits in 11th place in the Liga II overall table with 14 points from 8 matches (4 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses). They have scored 12 goals and conceded 12. In the away standings, Afumati is 8th with 7 points from 4 away games (2 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss). Stefanestii de Jos does not appear in the top 12 of the league table, which indicates they are placed lower and have accumulated fewer points. This gap in the standings further supports Afumati as the stronger side.

Win Probability: Afumati or Stefanestii de Jos?

After calculating the chances based on odds, form, and league positions, we assign the following win probabilities: Afumati 75%, draw 18%, Stefanestii de Jos 7%. The bookmakers' odds were the starting point. The inverse of the best available odds (1.38 for a home win, 5.17 for a draw, 8.69 for an away win) gave a raw probability of about 70% for Afumati, 19% for the draw, and 11% for Stefanestii de Jos. We then adjusted these numbers because of the huge difference in recent form – Afumati has three wins in five, while Stefanestii de Jos has lost five in a row – and because Stefanestii de Jos is not even in the top 12 of the league table. The home advantage for Afumati also plays a role. All these factors push the home win probability up to 75%, making Afumati the clear favorite to win this match.

Odds & Match Prediction

The best odds available for this match are: Afumati win at 1.38, draw at 5.17, and Stefanestii de Jos win at 8.69. These odds reflect how bookmakers see the game – Afumati is a strong favorite. Our Afumati vs Stefanestii de Jos prediction aligns with that view. Based on the stats, the team form, and the league table gap, we expect Afumati to win. The betting tip is a home victory, but always consider the draw as a possible outcome given the unpredictable nature of football.