Djurgarden Women - AIK Women prediction 04/10/2026

The Djurgarden Women vs AIK Women prediction for October 4, 2026, in the Damallsvenskan Women points to a tight contest where AIK Women enters as the slight favorite with a 45% win probability. The match kicks off at 09:00 and the latest odds and team form suggest a close battle between these Swedish rivals.

Team Form

Djurgarden Women have been inconsistent lately, with their last five results showing two wins and three losses. They beat Alvsjo AIK Women 4-1 in the Cup Women and Uppsala Women 4-1 away, but suffered defeats against Malmo FF Women (3-0), Kristianstads DFF Women (2-0), and Rosengaard Women (1-0). That run highlights a struggle to score against stronger league opponents.

AIK Women come into this match in excellent shape. Their last five outings show four wins and one draw. They defeated Vaxjo FF Women 3-0, KIF Orebro DFF Women 2-0 in the cup, Hammarby Women 2-1, and Pitea IF Women 1-0. A 1-1 draw away at Eskilstuna United Women is the only minor blemish. This strong form gives them a clear edge in the Djurgarden Women vs AIK Women prediction.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between these teams is fairly balanced. In the last 20 meetings, Djurgarden Women have 9 wins, AIK Women have 6, and 5 matches ended in draws. The most recent clash was on June 13, 2026, when AIK Women won 3-0 at home. Before that, Djurgarden Women won 1-0 away in August 2025 and crushed AIK Women 4-0 at home in May 2025. A 1-1 draw in October 2024 and a 2-2 cup draw in March 2024 round out the recent history, showing that results can swing either way.

League Table Positions

In the Damallsvenskan Women standings, AIK Women sit 4th with 34 points from 20 matches (10 wins, 4 draws, 6 losses). Djurgarden Women are 10th with 21 points (6 wins, 3 draws, 11 losses). The 13-point gap reflects the difference in consistency this season. AIK Women have been strong at home, but this match is at Djurgarden Women's ground. Djurgarden Women's away form table shows them 8th with 12 points from 11 away games, while AIK Women's away record is not directly listed, but their overall away performances have been solid.

Win Probability: Djurgarden Women or AIK Women?

Based on the odds, form, and league positions, here is the calculated win probability for this match: AIK Women have a 45% chance to win, Djurgarden Women have a 30% chance, and the draw is at 25%. The odds imply a close game, but AIK Women's superior recent form and higher league standing tip the balance in their favor. Djurgarden Women's home advantage and historical head-to-head edge keep them in contention, but their recent losses to top-half teams lower their probability. The draw is a real possibility given the rivalry and past results.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers offer varied odds for this fixture. The 1X2 market shows home win odds around 3.50 to 4.00, a draw at 2.22 to 2.25, and an away win at 2.35 to 2.50. These odds reflect the competitive nature of the match. Based on the stats, the Djurgarden Women vs AIK Women prediction leans toward an away win, but the value may lie in the draw market given the head-to-head history. AIK Women's current momentum makes them the team more likely to take all three points.