Match info
- Competição
- Premier League · Lebanon
- Início
Forma recente
últimos 5 jogos
Al AhedAl AhedReyady Abaseya10VPremier League
Al HikmaAl Ahed11EPremier League
Al AhedAl Mabarrah10VPremier League
TripoliAl Ahed11EPremier League
Al AhedJwaaya FC22EPremier League
Al MabarrahAl MabarrahTripoli03DPremier League
Al AhedAl Mabarrah10DPremier League
Jwaaya FCAl Mabarrah30DPremier League
Safa BeirutAl Mabarrah40DPremier League
Al MabarrahAl Ansar Beirut07DPremier League
Confronto direto
3 confrontosAl AhedAl Mabarrah10Premier League
Al MabarrahAl Ahed10Premier League
Al AhedAl Mabarrah20Premier League
Premier League 2026 · classificação
| # | Time | J | V | E | D | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Tadamon Sour | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10:5 | 10 |
| 2 |  Jwaaya FC | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:1 | 9 |
| 3 |  Tripoli | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:3 | 7 |
| 4 |  Safa | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 6 |
| 5 | Al Ahed | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 5 |
| 6 |  Al Nejmeh | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:3 | 4 |
| 7 |  Al Ansar | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 8 |  Al Hikma | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:6 | 1 |
| 9 |  Reyady Abaseya | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | 0 |
| 10 |  Shabab Al Sahel | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | 0 |
| 11 |  Al Akhaa Al Ahli | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:8 | 0 |
| 12 | Al Mabarrah | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:7 | 0 |
Our Al Ahed vs Al Mabarrah prediction for the Premier League match on Oct 13 at 15:00 points to a clear home favorite. Al Ahed has a 72% win probability, the draw sits at 20%, and Al Mabarrah has just an 8% chance of pulling off an upset.
Team Form
Al Ahed come into this match with a mixed run of results, recording three draws and two losses in their last five outings. Their most recent match was a 1-1 draw away at Tripoli on Oct 9. Before that, they drew 2-2 at home with Jwaaya FC and lost 2-1 at Al Nejmeh. They have struggled to turn draws into wins, but they remain a tough side to beat.
Al Mabarrah are in dreadful form, losing all of their last five matches. They were beaten 3-0 by Jwaaya FC on Oct 9, and before that suffered heavy defeats to Safa Beirut (4-0), Al Ansar Beirut (7-0), Al Hikma (4-2), and Al Nejmeh (5-0). They have conceded 23 goals in those five games, scoring only twice.
Head-to-Head Record
The head-to-head record between these two teams is perfectly balanced at one win each from two meetings. Al Ahed won 2-0 at home on Oct 17, 2025, while Al Mabarrah won 1-0 at home on Feb 15, 2026. Both matches were in the Premier League, and the home team won on each occasion, which supports the home advantage factor in this fixture.
League Table Positions
In the early Premier League standings, Al Ahed sit 6th with 1 point from 1 game, having drawn 1-1. Al Mabarrah are 11th with 0 points from 1 game after a 3-0 loss. The table is still taking shape, but Al Mabarrah already find themselves in the relegation zone and under pressure to get a result.
Win Probability: Al Ahed or Al Mabarrah?
Based on the available odds, recent form, and head-to-head record, we calculate the win probability as follows: Al Ahed 72%, draw 20%, Al Mabarrah 8%. The bookmakers' odds imply a strong home advantage, with Al Ahed priced as short as 1.23 to win. Al Mabarrah's five-match losing streak and leaky defense make an away win highly unlikely. The most probable outcome is a comfortable home victory.
Odds & Match Prediction
The best available odds for this match show Al Ahed at 1.23, the draw at 5.00, and Al Mabarrah at 9.40. Other bookmakers have Al Ahed at 1.25 and 1.67, confirming the market consensus that the home side are strong favorites. Our Al Ahed vs Al Mabarrah prediction is a home win, with the -1.5 Asian handicap also worth considering for betting tips given Al Mabarrah's poor defensive record.