Al Ettifaq - Al Faisaly Harmah prediction 08/09/2026

Al Ettifaq vs Al Faisaly Harmah prediction for the Pro League match on Sep 08, 2026, at 15:30. Based on the stats, Al Ettifaq enters this game as the favorite with a 48% win probability. The match takes place at Al-Ettifaq Club Stadium in Dammam, and bookmakers see the home side as the more likely winner.

Team Form

Al Ettifaq comes into this match with a mixed run of results: W, L, L, W, L in their last five games. Their most recent outing was a 1-0 away win against Abha on Sep 04. Before that, they suffered a 0-3 home loss to Al Draih and a narrow 2-3 defeat at home to Al Nassr Riyadh. The team has shown they can grind out results on the road, but consistency at home remains a question.

Al Faisaly Harmah has struggled more, with a form line of D, L, D, L, L. They drew 0-0 at home against Al Hazm on Sep 05 and lost 1-3 away to Al Qadisiya. Two draws and three losses in five matches point to a team lacking a cutting edge. They have managed just two goals in those five games, which will be a concern ahead of this trip.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between these two sides shows a clear advantage for Al Ettifaq. In 13 previous meetings, Al Ettifaq has 7 wins, Al Faisaly Harmah has 3 wins, and there have been 3 draws. The last three encounters in the Pro League all went the way of the home team on the day. Al Ettifaq won 1-0 at home in November 2021 and again 1-0 in March 2021. The most recent clash, in May 2022 at Al Faisaly Harmah, ended in a 1-1 draw. Home advantage has been decisive in this fixture.

League Table Positions

In the overall Pro League standings, Al Ettifaq sits 8th with 9 points from 5 matches (3 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses). They have scored 8 goals and conceded 8. Al Faisaly Harmah is not in the top 12 of the provided table, which suggests they are lower down the ranking. Al Ettifaq's away form is strong - they have a perfect record on the road with 2 wins from 2, scoring 2 and conceding 0. That away strength gives them a solid platform even when playing at home, as the overall squad confidence is high.

Win Probability: Al Ettifaq or Al Faisaly Harmah?

After analyzing the odds, form, and head-to-head data, the win probability for this match is: Al Ettifaq 48%, draw 28%, Al Faisaly Harmah 24%. The calculation starts from the average bookmaker odds (home 2.00, draw 2.38, away 3.56). Removing the margin gives implied probabilities of roughly 46% for a home win, 27% for the draw, and 27% for an away win. Al Ettifaq's stronger H2H record at home and Al Faisaly Harmah's poor recent form (no wins in five) push the home probability slightly higher, while the away side's chances drop. Al Ettifaq is the more likely winner, but the draw remains a real possibility given the tight nature of past meetings.

Odds & Match Prediction

The best available odds for this Pro League clash show Al Ettifaq at 2.18, the draw at 2.40, and Al Faisaly Harmah at 3.60. Some bookmakers have the home win as low as 1.80, which confirms the market's view of Al Ettifaq as the favorite. Based on the stats, the Al Ettifaq vs Al Faisaly Harmah prediction points to a home win, but with caution. Al Faisaly Harmah has drawn two of their last five, and the H2H includes three draws. A 1-0 or 2-1 scoreline for Al Ettifaq looks the most likely outcome, but betting tips should consider the under 2.5 goals market given both teams' recent scoring records.