Al Fateh - Al Shabab Riyadh prediction 22/10/2026

Al Fateh vs Al Shabab Riyadh prediction for the Pro League match on October 22, 2026, at 11:45. Based on the odds and recent form, Al Shabab Riyadh is the slight favorite with a 35% chance of winning, while Al Fateh has a 30% chance and the draw stands at 35%.

Team Form

Al Fateh comes into this match with a poor run of results. In their last five games, they have one win and four losses. The only victory was a 3-2 away win against Al Hazm on October 15. At home, they lost 2-3 to Al Khaleej Saihat and suffered a heavy 0-4 defeat to Al Ahli Jeddah. Overall, Al Fateh has struggled defensively, conceding 14 goals in those five matches.

Al Shabab Riyadh has been more consistent, with one win, three draws, and one loss in their last five outings. They drew 2-2 at home against Al Faisaly Harmah and held Al Ittihad Jeddah to a 0-0 away draw. Their standout result was a 3-0 home win over Al Taawon Buraidah. The team shows solid defensive organization, keeping two clean sheets in that period.

Head-to-Head Record

In the overall head-to-head, Al Fateh has 7 wins, Al Shabab Riyadh has 4, and there have been 7 draws. The last five meetings show Al Fateh's strength at home: they won 2-0 in January 2026 and 3-1 in May 2025, both at Prince Abdullah bin Jalawi Stadium. The most recent clash in April 2026 ended 1-1 at Al Shabab Riyadh's ground. Historically, this fixture is tight, with three draws in the last five encounters.

League Table Positions

Neither Al Fateh nor Al Shabab Riyadh appears in the top 12 of the Pro League standings provided. This suggests both teams are positioned in the lower half of the table, likely fighting to move away from the relegation zone. The lack of top-half presence adds extra pressure on this match for both sides.

Win Probability: Al Fateh or Al Shabab Riyadh?

After analyzing the odds, form, and head-to-head record, we calculate the win probabilities as follows: Al Fateh 30%, draw 35%, and Al Shabab Riyadh 35%. The bookmakers' odds (home 3.15, draw 2.38, away 2.40) imply a close contest, with the away side holding a marginal edge. Al Shabab Riyadh's more stable recent form and defensive solidity give them a slight advantage, but Al Fateh's home record in this fixture cannot be ignored. The draw is a very realistic outcome, reflected in its high probability.

Odds & Match Prediction

The best available odds for the 1X2 market are: Al Fateh win at 3.15, draw at 2.38, and Al Shabab Riyadh win at 2.40. Bookmakers see this as an evenly matched game, with the draw priced as the most likely single result. Our Al Fateh vs Al Shabab Riyadh prediction is a tight match that could go either way. Based on the stats, a draw or a narrow away win are the most probable outcomes. For betting tips, the draw market offers value, and under 2.5 goals could also be worth considering given both teams' recent scoring patterns.