Al Ittihad Al Sakandary Alexandria - El Gounah prediction 13/10/2026

The Al Ittihad Al Sakandary Alexandria vs El Gounah prediction points to a home-favored match in the Premier League on Oct 13 at 14:00. Based on the stats, Al Ittihad Al Sakandary Alexandria has a 52% chance of winning, the draw is at 28%, and El Gounah has a 20% chance. The game takes place at Borg El Arab Stadium in Amreya.

Team Form

Al Ittihad Al Sakandary Alexandria comes into this match with a mixed recent record. Their last five results are L, W, W, W, L. In the most recent game, they lost 0-1 at home to Wadi Degla in the League Cup on Oct 8. Before that, they had a strong run of three wins: 2-0 away at Al Masry, 1-0 at home against Asyut Petroleum, and 2-0 away at Abu Qair Semad. The loss to Ceramica Cleopatra (1-3) on Aug 28 started this sequence of results.

El Gounah is struggling badly. Their last five results are L, L, L, L, D. They lost 0-2 away to Al Mokawloon Al-Arab Contractors in the League Cup on Oct 8. In the Premier League, they lost 1-2 at home to Petrojet, 0-1 away at Pyramids FC, and 0-1 at home to Al Mokawloon Al-Arab Contractors. The only point came from a 1-1 draw away at El Qanah FC on Aug 28. Four straight losses show a team low on confidence.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between these two teams favors Al Ittihad Al Sakandary Alexandria. In 16 previous meetings, Al Ittihad has 8 wins, El Gounah has 5 wins, and there have been 3 draws. The last match was a 0-0 draw on Apr 4, 2026, when El Gounah hosted. Before that, El Gounah won 2-0 away on Nov 23, 2025. Al Ittihad's last win in this fixture was 1-0 at home on Feb 17, 2025. The H2H history suggests a tight contest, but the home team often has the edge.

League Table Positions

In the Premier League standings, Al Ittihad Al Sakandary Alexandria sits 6th overall with 10 points from 5 matches (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss). They have scored 6 goals and conceded 3. At home, they are 7th with 3 points from 2 games (1 win, 1 loss). Away from home, they are a strong 3rd with 7 points from 3 games (2 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses), with 4 goals scored and 0 conceded on the road.

El Gounah is not in the top 12 of the overall standings provided, which indicates a lower position. Their recent form of four straight losses explains their absence from the upper part of the table. The gap in points and league positions clearly favors Al Ittihad Al Sakandary Alexandria.

Win Probability: Al Ittihad Al Sakandary Alexandria or El Gounah?

Who will win this match? The win probability calculation gives Al Ittihad Al Sakandary Alexandria a 52% chance, the draw a 28% chance, and El Gounah a 20% chance. This is based on the odds, where bookmakers have Al Ittihad as the favorite with average odds around 2.11 for a home win. The inverse of these odds, normalized, gives Al Ittihad a base probability near 45%, but their stronger league position, better recent form (3 wins in 5 vs 0 wins in 5 for El Gounah), and the home advantage at Borg El Arab Stadium push their chances above 50%. El Gounah's four-match losing streak and low scoring output reduce their win probability significantly. The draw has a solid 28% chance, reflecting the 3 draws in 16 H2H matches and El Gounah's ability to sometimes grind out a point.

Odds & Match Prediction

The odds for this match show Al Ittihad Al Sakandary Alexandria as the clear favorite. The 1X2 market has home win odds ranging from 2.05 to 2.23, the draw from 1.78 to 2.85, and an away win from 4.00 to 4.75. Bookmakers see Al Ittihad as the most likely winner, and the wide range on the draw suggests some uncertainty. Based on the stats, the Al Ittihad Al Sakandary Alexandria vs El Gounah prediction is a home win, but the value might be in the draw given El Gounah's desperation to stop their losing run and the H2H history of tight games. The total goals expectation is low, as both teams have been involved in low-scoring matches recently.