Al Ittihad Al Sakandary Alexandria - Wadi Degla prediction 08/10/2026

Al Ittihad Al Sakandary Alexandria vs Wadi Degla prediction for the League Cup match on Oct 8 at 11:00. Based on recent form, head-to-head data and bookmaker odds, Al Ittihad Al Sakandary Alexandria is the slight favorite with a 40% win probability. Wadi Degla has a 27% chance, and the draw is at 33%.

Team Form

Al Ittihad Al Sakandary Alexandria comes into this match with strong recent results. In their last five games, they recorded three wins (W,W,W), one loss (L) and one draw (D). Notable victories include a 2-0 away win against Al Masry and a 1-0 home win over Asyut Petroleum. The only defeat in that run was a 1-3 home loss to Ceramica Cleopatra.

Wadi Degla's form is less convincing. Their last five matches show one win (W), two losses (L) and two draws (D). They suffered a 0-2 home defeat to Al Mokawloon Al-Arab Contractors and a 1-2 away loss at Modern Sport FC. The single win came away at ENPPI (3-1), but consistency has been a problem.

Head-to-Head Record

The history between these teams favors Wadi Degla. In 13 previous meetings, Wadi Degla won 6, Al Ittihad Al Sakandary Alexandria won 2, and 5 ended in draws. The most recent encounters underline that trend:

• Apr 29, 2026: Wadi Degla 4-1 Al Ittihad Al Sakandary Alexandria (Premier League)
• Oct 27, 2025: Al Ittihad Al Sakandary Alexandria 1-2 Wadi Degla (Premier League)
• Aug 13, 2021: Wadi Degla 0-0 Al Ittihad Al Sakandary Alexandria (Premier League)
• Apr 15, 2021: Wadi Degla 1-0 Al Ittihad Al Sakandary Alexandria (Cup)

Wadi Degla has won three of the last four meetings, but all those matches were played in different competitions and under different circumstances. Current form suggests a shift in momentum.

Win Probability: Al Ittihad or Wadi Degla?

We calculate the win probabilities as follows: Al Ittihad Al Sakandary Alexandria 40%, draw 33%, Wadi Degla 27%. This assessment combines the implied odds from multiple bookmakers with the teams' recent performances and the home advantage.

The average bookmaker odds (home 3.10, draw 2.00, away 3.00) point to a very tight contest, with the draw being the most likely single outcome in the raw odds. However, Al Ittihad's three wins in the last five matches and the fact they are playing at home tilt the probability slightly in their favor. Wadi Degla's poor run of form - just one win in five - reduces their chances, despite a superior historical head-to-head record.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see this as an open match. The 1X2 odds available include home win at 3.10, draw at 2.00 and away win at 3.00 (one of the listed bookmakers). Other odds sets show similar closeness, with some even pricing Al Ittihad as short as 2.00. This variance confirms the unpredictable nature of the fixture.

Our Al Ittihad Al Sakandary Alexandria vs Wadi Degla prediction is that the home side has a slight edge. The most likely outcome is a narrow win for Al Ittihad, but the draw is a very realistic possibility. For betting tips, the draw no bet on Al Ittihad or under 2.5 goals could offer value, given the tight nature of recent meetings and both teams' scoring patterns.