Al Kharitiyath - Al Wakrah prediction 28/09/2026

The Al Kharitiyath vs Al Wakrah prediction for the Stars Cup match on September 28, 2026, points to Al Wakrah as the favorite with a 50% win probability. The game kicks off at 12:00 local time in Qatar, and all the stats point to an away victory.

Team Form

Al Kharitiyath come into this match with a mixed run of results: L, D, W, D, L in their last five outings. They lost 1-0 away to Umm Salal, drew 1-1 at Mesaimeer, beat Al Khor 3-1 at home, drew 0-0 at AL Shamal Future, and lost 3-0 at Al Shahaniya. That is only one win in five, and the team has struggled for consistency.

Al Wakrah's recent form reads W, D, L, L, D. They beat Al Sailiya 1-0 at home, drew 1-1 with Al Shamal at home, lost 4-0 away to Lusail, lost 2-1 at home to Al Rayyan, and drew 2-2 with Qatar SC at home. The heavy away defeat to Lusail is a concern, but overall Al Wakrah have been slightly more competitive in the Stars League.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record heavily favors Al Wakrah. In four previous meetings, Al Wakrah have won three times and Al Kharitiyath once, with no draws. The most recent clash was on April 10, 2021, when Al Wakrah won 2-0 at Al Kharitiyath. The only Al Kharitiyath victory came at home in April 2018 (2-1). A memorable 5-9 scoreline in January 2017 also went Al Wakrah's way. History clearly gives Al Wakrah the edge.

Win Probability: Al Kharitiyath or Al Wakrah?

Based on the odds, form, and head-to-head record, we calculate the win probability as follows: Al Wakrah has a 50% chance of winning, the draw stands at 30%, and Al Kharitiyath has a 20% chance. Bookmakers see Al Wakrah as the favorite, and the H2H dominance supports that. Al Kharitiyath's home advantage is not enough to tip the balance, especially with only one win in their last five matches. Al Wakrah are the more likely winners, but a draw cannot be ruled out given both teams' recent tendency to share points.

Odds & Match Prediction

The best available odds for this Stars Cup fixture show a home win at around 4.00, a draw at 2.30, and an away win at 2.10-2.20. Some bookmakers even offer as low as 1.63 for an Al Wakrah victory. These numbers confirm that the betting market expects Al Wakrah to win. Our Al Kharitiyath vs Al Wakrah prediction sides with the away team. Al Wakrah to win is the most likely outcome, but with both sides drawing two of their last five, a small stake on the draw could also be worth considering.