Al Faisaly Harmah - Al Nassr Riyadh prediction 23/10/2026

Al Faisaly Harmah vs Al Nassr Riyadh prediction for the Pro League match on October 23, 2026. Al Nassr Riyadh is the clear favorite, with a 65% chance of winning, according to our analysis of odds, team form, and head-to-head record. The game will be played at King Salman Sport City Stadium, in Al Majma'ah.

Forma das Equipes

Al Faisaly Harmah comes into this match with inconsistent results. In the last five games, they have one win, three draws, and one loss. Their most recent match was a 2-2 draw away against Al Shabab Riyadh on October 19. Before that, they beat Al Khlood 3-2 at home, drew 0-0 with Abha, lost 3-1 to Al Ittihad Jeddah, and drew 0-0 with Al Ettifaq. The team struggles to turn draws into wins, which is a concern against a strong opponent.

Al Nassr Riyadh, on the other hand, is in much better form. They have three wins, one draw, and one loss in the last five matches. Their last game was a 1-0 home win against NEOM Sports Club on October 20. They also beat Neftchi 3-1 in the AFC Champions League, defeated Al Draih 3-0, lost 4-0 to Al Ain Abu Dhabi, and drew 1-1 with Al Khaleej Saihat. Al Nassr has been scoring regularly and looks confident, especially in domestic games.

Confronto Direto

The head-to-head record between Al Faisaly Harmah and Al Nassr Riyadh shows a slight advantage for the away side. In the last five meetings, Al Nassr won three times and Al Faisaly won twice. The most recent clash was on January 15, 2022, when Al Nassr won 4-0 at home. Overall, across all competitions, Al Nassr has 6 wins, Al Faisaly has 4, and there have been 2 draws. The history suggests that Al Nassr usually finds a way to win, but Al Faisaly has caused upsets before, including a 1-0 cup win in April 2021.

Posição na Tabela

Al Nassr Riyadh sits in 3rd place in the Pro League with 22 points from 9 matches (7 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss). They have scored 20 goals and conceded only 7, showing both offensive power and defensive solidity. Away from home, they have 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in 4 games. Al Faisaly Harmah is not in the top 12 of the overall standings, which indicates they are in the lower part of the table. Their home form is also not among the best eight teams in the league. The gap in league positions is a strong indicator that Al Nassr is the superior side.

Probabilidade de Vitória: Al Faisaly Harmah ou Al Nassr Riyadh?

Based on the odds, form, head-to-head record, and league table, we calculate the win probability as follows: Al Nassr Riyadh has a 65% chance to win, the draw is at 25%, and Al Faisaly Harmah has a 10% chance. The bookmakers' odds heavily favor Al Nassr, with average prices around 1.50 for an away win. When we adjust for the home team's recent draws and Al Nassr's strong domestic run, the probability shifts even more toward the favorite. Al Faisaly's best hope is to hold on for a draw, but an upset seems unlikely.

Odds e Previsão da Partida

The odds for this match show Al Nassr Riyadh as the big favorite. Across several bookmakers, the away win is priced between 1.25 and 1.52, the draw around 2.80 to 5.00, and a home win for Al Faisaly Harmah between 6.75 and 10.09. These numbers reflect the difference in quality between the two squads. Our Al Faisaly Harmah vs Al Nassr Riyadh prediction is an away win. Al Nassr should have enough quality to secure the three points, but the odds on the draw might offer value for cautious bettors. Based on the stats, the most likely outcome is a victory for Al Nassr Riyadh, possibly by a one or two-goal margin.