Al Quwa Al Jawiya - Diyala FC prediction 19/09/2026

Our Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Diyala FC prediction for the Stars League match on Sep 19, 2026, points to a narrow home win. Al Quwa Al Jawiya starts with a 42% win probability. The draw sits at 31%, and Diyala FC has a 27% chance to leave with three points.

Team Form

Al Quwa Al Jawiya comes into this game with poor recent results. In their last five matches across all competitions, they lost three, won one, and drew one. Their most recent league outings show a 1-0 home loss to Al Zawraa, a 3-2 away win at Karbalaa, a 2-1 loss at Duhok, and a 1-1 home draw against Al Nafit Maysan. That run gives them just one league win in four attempts.

Diyala FC has been slightly steadier but still inconsistent. Over the last five matches they have one win, two draws, and two losses. They beat Al Gharraf FC 3-1 away, lost 2-0 at Erbil SC, lost 2-1 at home to Al Karma, and drew 3-3 at home with Al Julan and 2-2 away at Zakho. On the road, they have picked up four points from their last three away trips.

Head-to-Head Record

These two teams have met four times in the Stars League, and the head-to-head record favors Al Quwa Al Jawiya. They have won twice, Diyala FC once, with one draw. The most recent clash was on Mar 13, 2026, when Al Quwa Al Jawiya won 1-0 away at Diyala FC. The previous meeting at this venue, on Oct 30, 2025, ended 2-1 to Al Quwa Al Jawiya. The only Diyala FC win came in April 2025, and the encounter before that was a 1-1 draw in October 2024. Overall, Al Quwa Al Jawiya is unbeaten in the last two H2H matches.

League Table Positions

Diyala FC occupies 10th place in the Stars League overall standings with 8 points from 7 matches (2 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses). Their home record is respectable: 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss from 4 home games, scoring 9 and conceding 7. Al Quwa Al Jawiya does not feature in the top 12 of the overall table, which suggests they are struggling in the lower half. Their away form shows 1 win, 2 draws, and 1 loss from 4 matches, with 8 goals scored and 8 conceded.

Win Probability: Al Quwa Al Jawiya or Diyala FC?

We calculate a 42% chance for a home win, a 31% likelihood of a draw, and a 27% probability for an away victory. The total rounds to 100%. Al Quwa Al Jawiya gets the edge mainly because of their head-to-head dominance and the home-field factor, even though their current form and league position are weaker. Diyala FC sits higher in the table but has not won an away match in this fixture since 2025. The draw probability is also high because both sides have drawn games recently, and the last home meeting for Al Quwa Al Jawiya against Diyala FC was a draw. Based on the stats, Al Quwa Al Jawiya is the more likely winner, but the match is far from one-sided.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers' odds for this match are not yet available. Without odds, our Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Diyala FC prediction relies on team form, head-to-head results, and league standings. Al Quwa Al Jawiya appears as a slight favorite, and our betting tip leans towards a home win. A draw with a 31% chance is also a realistic outcome, so cautious betters might consider the double chance market for Al Quwa Al Jawiya or draw.