Al Yarmouk Mishref - Burgan SC prediction 14/10/2026

Our Al Yarmouk Mishref vs Burgan SC prediction for October 14, 2026, in the Kuwait Division 1 points to a home win as the most likely outcome. Al Yarmouk Mishref enters this match as the favorite with a 52% win probability, based on their dominant head-to-head record and recent form. The match kicks off at 11:45 local time, and bookmakers also see the hosts as the clear frontrunner.

Team Form

Al Yarmouk Mishref's recent form shows two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five matches. They are coming off a 3-2 away win against Al Sahel Abu Halifa on Aug 20 and a 1-1 home draw with Al Salibikhaet on Aug 14. Their only recent defeat was a 2-0 loss at Al Jazira Kuwait on Aug 17.

Burgan SC has two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five outings. They lost 1-0 at home to Al Jazira Kuwait on Oct 8, but previously secured a 4-2 away win at Sporty FC on Aug 20 and a 4-1 home victory over Al Shamiya on Aug 17. Their form is a bit inconsistent, which makes this Division 1 clash tricky to call.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record heavily favors Al Yarmouk Mishref. In 16 previous meetings, Al Yarmouk Mishref has 12 wins, Burgan SC has 2 wins, and there have been 2 draws. The most recent H2H match was on Aug 11, 2026, when Al Yarmouk Mishref beat Burgan SC 3-1 at home. Burgan SC's last win in this fixture was a 2-1 away victory on Oct 4, 2025.

League Table Positions

In the early Division 1 standings, Burgan SC sits 4th with 0 points after one match, having lost 1-0. Al Yarmouk Mishref has not yet played a league game this season, so they are not listed in the current table. The table is led by Khaitan, Al Jazira Kuwait, and Ittihad Al-Shorta, all on 3 points.

Win Probability: Al Yarmouk Mishref or Burgan SC?

Based on the available data, we calculate the win probability as follows: Al Yarmouk Mishref has a 52% chance to win, the draw is at 27%, and Burgan SC has a 21% chance. This calculation uses the inverse of the best available odds (home 1.53, draw 3.86, away 6.00) as a base, normalized to remove the bookmaker margin. We then adjusted for Al Yarmouk Mishref's strong H2H dominance (12 wins in 16 games) and their solid recent form. Burgan SC's away win probability is lower due to their poor historical record in this matchup and a recent home loss. The most likely match outcome is a home victory for Al Yarmouk Mishref.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers' odds for this match show Al Yarmouk Mishref as the favorite. The best home win odds are 1.53, the draw is priced at 3.86, and an away win for Burgan SC is at 6.00. These betting tips are based on the stats: Al Yarmouk Mishref's strong H2H record and home advantage make them the sensible pick, but Burgan SC's capable attacking displays on their day mean the draw is a real possibility. Our Al Yarmouk Mishref vs Burgan SC prediction is a home win, but with a note of caution given the early stage of the season.