Albinoleffe - Arzignano Valchiampo prediction 17/09/2026

This Albinoleffe vs Arzignano Valchiampo prediction looks at the Serie C match on Sep 17 at 16:30. Based on the stats, Albinoleffe enters the game as the slight favorite with a 42% win probability, while Arzignano Valchiampo has a 28% chance and the draw sits at 30%. Keep reading for full betting tips, team form, and head-to-head analysis.

Team Form

Albinoleffe's recent form has been mixed. In their last five matches, they have one win, three draws, and one loss. Their most recent outing was a 0-0 draw away at Dolomiti Bellunesi on Sep 13. Before that, they lost 0-1 at home to Carpi and drew 1-1 at home with ACD Ospitaletto. The only win in this stretch was a 2-1 victory at Giana Erminio on Aug 22.

Arzignano Valchiampo's form is also inconsistent, with one win, two draws, and two losses in their last five. They are coming off a 1-2 home loss to Desenzano Calvina on Sep 13. Prior to that, they lost 1-3 away to ACD Ospitaletto. Their last win was a 1-0 home result against Pro Vercelli on Aug 30. The team has struggled to find consistency, especially on the road.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between these two teams is very balanced. In their last five meetings, Albinoleffe has one win, Arzignano Valchiampo has one win, and there have been three draws. The most recent match was a Coppa Serie C game on Aug 15, where Arzignano Valchiampo won 2-1 at home. However, in the last Serie C clash on Feb 15, Albinoleffe secured a 2-0 home win. The three other matches all ended in draws, showing how evenly matched these sides are.

League Table Positions

Albinoleffe is currently 9th in the Serie C table with 5 points from 4 matches. They have scored 3 goals and conceded 3. Their away form is solid, ranking 5th in the away table with 4 points from 2 games. Arzignano Valchiampo is not listed in the top 12 of the overall standings, indicating a lower position. Albinoleffe's home record is not among the top 8, suggesting they have been stronger on their travels so far this season.

Win Probability: Albinoleffe or Arzignano Valchiampo?

Who will win this match? Based on the odds, form, and H2H data, Albinoleffe has a 42% chance of winning, the draw is at 30%, and Arzignano Valchiampo has a 28% chance. The odds from bookmakers show Albinoleffe as the favorite with an average price around 2.33, which translates to an implied probability of about 43% before removing the margin. After adjusting for the bookmaker margin and factoring in the balanced head-to-head record and Albinoleffe's slightly better away form, the true probability settles at 42%. The draw is a very realistic outcome given the three stalemates in their last five meetings, hence the 30% probability. Arzignano Valchiampo's chances are lower due to their poor recent away results.

Odds & Match Prediction

The best available odds for this match show Albinoleffe at 2.54 for a home win, the draw at 3.13, and an Arzignano Valchiampo away win at 3.08. Other bookmakers have Albinoleffe as low as 2.25. Based on the stats, the most likely outcome is a narrow win for Albinoleffe, but a draw is a strong possibility. Our Albinoleffe vs Arzignano Valchiampo prediction is a home win, but betting tips would suggest the draw no bet market could offer value for the favorite.