Albirex Niigata Women - Cerezo Osaka Women prediction 04/10/2026

Our Albirex Niigata Women vs Cerezo Osaka Women prediction for October 4, 2026, in the WE League Women points to a tight match. Based on the odds, form, and head-to-head record, Albirex Niigata Women has a 42% chance to win, the draw is at 26%, and Cerezo Osaka Women has a 32% chance.

Team Form

Albirex Niigata Women come into this match with a mixed recent record: D, W, L, L, L in their last five outings. They drew 1-1 at home against Urawa Red Diamonds Women on Sep 27, then beat Nippon Tokyo Verdy Beleza Women 3-1 away on Sep 23. Before that, they lost three straight: 1-0 to Vegalta Sendai Women, 3-1 at home to Sanfrecce Hiroshima Women, and 2-1 away to Omiya Ardija Ventus Women.

Cerezo Osaka Women's last five results read L, W, W, L, L. They lost 4-1 at home to Nippon Tokyo Verdy Beleza Women on Sep 27, but before that they beat Sanfrecce Hiroshima Women 3-0 at home and won 1-0 away at Parceiro Nagano Women. Their two earlier losses were 3-2 at home to Elfen Saitama Women and 1-0 at home to Sanfrecce Hiroshima Women.

Head-to-Head Record

In the head-to-head between these two teams, Albirex Niigata Women hold a clear advantage with 10 wins, 1 draw, and 6 losses against Cerezo Osaka Women. The most recent meeting was on Aug 23, 2026, a 1-1 draw at Cerezo Osaka Women. Before that, Cerezo Osaka Women won 1-0 in the League Cup Women on Mar 8, 2026, but Albirex Niigata Women won 3-1 away in the WE League Women on Feb 21, 2026. The overall H2H record shows Albirex Niigata Women tend to dominate this fixture.

League Table Positions

In the WE League Women overall standings, Cerezo Osaka Women sit 4th with 4 points from 3 matches (1 win, 1 draw, 1 loss), while Albirex Niigata Women are 5th with the same record and points. At home, Albirex Niigata Women have played 1 game and won it, placing them 6th in the home table. Away from home, Cerezo Osaka Women have also played 1 and won, ranking 4th in the away table. The table shows almost no gap between the sides.

Win Probability: Albirex Niigata Women or Cerezo Osaka Women?

After analyzing the odds, form, and H2H, we calculate the win probability as follows: Albirex Niigata Women 42%, draw 26%, Cerezo Osaka Women 32%. The bookmakers' odds (home 2.25, draw 3.30, away 2.75) imply a 40% chance for a home win after removing the margin. We adjusted slightly upward for Albirex Niigata Women because of their strong head-to-head record (10 wins in 17 meetings) and the fact they are playing at home. However, recent form is patchy for both sides, so the draw remains a realistic outcome. Overall, Albirex Niigata Women are the more likely winner, but it is far from a sure thing.

Odds & Match Prediction

The pre-match odds for this WE League Women clash are: Albirex Niigata Women win at 2.25, a draw at 3.30, and Cerezo Osaka Women win at 2.75. Bookmakers see Albirex Niigata Women as the favorite, which matches the historical H2H edge. Our Albirex Niigata Women vs Cerezo Osaka Women prediction is a home win, but with a low margin. Betting tips: the home win odds offer some value given the H2H stats, but the draw is also a solid option considering both teams' inconsistent form. Always check the latest team news before placing any bet.