Match info
- Competição
- Liga de Expansion MX · Mexico
- Início
Forma recente
últimos 5 jogos
Alebrijes de OaxacaAlebrijes de OaxacaCruz Azul Hidalgo21VLiga de Expansion MX
Leones Negros UDGAlebrijes de Oaxaca12VLiga de Expansion MX
Alebrijes de OaxacaCorrecaminos UAT21VLiga de Expansion MX
Piratas VeracruzAlebrijes de Oaxaca40DLiga de Expansion MX
Alebrijes de OaxacaAtletico La Paz13DLiga de Expansion MX
Atletico La PazAtletico La PazTlaxcala FC22ELiga de Expansion MX
CD TapatioAtletico La Paz24VLiga de Expansion MX
Atletico La PazVenados FC12DLiga de Expansion MX
Alebrijes de OaxacaAtletico La Paz13VLiga de Expansion MX
Atletico La PazCorrecaminos UAT31VLiga de Expansion MX
Confronto direto
9 confrontosAlebrijes de OaxacaAtletico La Paz13Liga de Expansion MX
Atletico La PazAlebrijes de Oaxaca40Liga de Expansion MX
Alebrijes de OaxacaAtletico La Paz11Liga de Expansion MX
Alebrijes de OaxacaAtletico La Paz22Liga de Expansion MX
Atletico La PazAlebrijes de Oaxaca21Liga de Expansion MX
Atletico La PazAlebrijes de Oaxaca21Liga de Expansion MX
Alebrijes de OaxacaAtletico La Paz22Liga de Expansion MX
Alebrijes de OaxacaAtletico La Paz12Liga de Expansion MX
Atletico La PazAlebrijes de Oaxaca21Liga de Expansion MX
Liga de Expansion MX 2026 · classificação
| # | Time | J | V | E | D | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico La Paz | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 30:17 | 24 |
| 2 |  Leones Negros UDG | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 29:19 | 24 |
| 3 |  Atletico Morelia | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 23:15 | 23 |
| 4 |  Piratas Veracruz | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 21:14 | 21 |
| 5 |  Venados FC | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 28:23 | 21 |
| 6 |  Durango | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 16:11 | 21 |
| 7 |  Cancun FC | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 22:18 | 19 |
| 8 |  Mineros de Zacatecas | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 26:23 | 18 |
| 9 |  CD Tapatio | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 23:25 | 17 |
| 10 |  Dorados de Sinaloa | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 23:24 | 16 |
| 11 |  Correcaminos UAT | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 21:22 | 16 |
| 12 |  Tlaxcala FC | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 25:27 | 16 |
| 13 | Alebrijes de Oaxaca | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 12:24 | 16 |
| 14 |  Tampico Madero | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 14:20 | 15 |
| 15 |  Cruz Azul Hidalgo | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 16:20 | 14 |
| 16 |  CD Tepatitlan de Morelos | 13 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 10:37 | 7 |
Our Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Atletico La Paz prediction for the Liga de Expansion MX match on Sep 24 at 22:00 focuses on who will win. Based on the stats, Atletico La Paz is the favorite with a 48% win probability, while Alebrijes de Oaxaca has a 27% chance and the draw sits at 25%.
Team Form
Alebrijes de Oaxaca come into this match with a poor run of form. Their last five results are L, W, L, D, L. A 1-0 home win against Alacranes de Durango on Sep 10 was the only bright spot. Heavy defeats to Cancun FC (3-0) and Atletico Morelia (4-1) show defensive issues.
Atletico La Paz are in much better shape. Their last five results are W, D, W, W, D. They beat Correcaminos UAT 3-1 at home on Sep 19 and also won 3-0 against Mineros de Zacatecas. A 2-2 draw away at Leones Negros UDG shows they can score on the road.
Head-to-Head Record
The head-to-head record heavily favors Atletico La Paz. In 8 previous meetings, Alebrijes de Oaxaca have 0 wins, there have been 3 draws, and Atletico La Paz have 5 wins. The most recent match on Mar 21, 2026 ended in a 4-0 home win for Atletico La Paz. Alebrijes de Oaxaca have not beaten this opponent in any of their last 8 tries.
League Table Positions
Atletico La Paz sit 2nd in the Liga de Expansion MX table with 17 points from 9 matches. They have scored 20 goals and conceded 10. Alebrijes de Oaxaca are not in the top 8 of the overall standings, which puts them well behind their opponents. The gap in points and goal difference is significant.
Win Probability: Alebrijes de Oaxaca or Atletico La Paz?
We calculate the win probability based on odds, form, head-to-head, and league positions. The bookmakers' average odds (home 3.07, draw 2.43, away 2.40) imply a close match, but the away team is the slight favorite. After removing the margin and adjusting for the strong H2H record and league table gap, the true chances are: Alebrijes de Oaxaca win 27%, draw 25%, Atletico La Paz win 48%. Atletico La Paz is the more likely winner.
Odds & Match Prediction
The available 1X2 odds are: Alebrijes de Oaxaca around 3.00 to 3.10, the draw around 2.38 to 2.50, and an Atletico La Paz win around 2.35 to 2.45. Bookmakers see Atletico La Paz as the favorite. Our Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Atletico La Paz prediction is an away win, based on the stats, the head-to-head record, and the current form of both teams.