CD FAS - Alianza FC El Salvador prediction 08/10/2026

The CD FAS vs Alianza FC El Salvador prediction for October 8, 2026, points to a tight Primera Division contest. Based on the latest odds, form, and head-to-head record, CD FAS enters as the favorite with a 48% win probability, while Alianza FC El Salvador sits at 25%, and the draw is at 27%. The match kicks off at 22:30 local time.

Team Form

CD FAS comes into this match with a solid recent run. In their last five outings, they recorded two wins and three draws. The team scored seven goals and conceded only four in that span, including a 3-1 away win at Municipal Limeno and a 2-0 victory at Cacahuatique. Their last two home matches ended in draws against CD Inca (1-1) and Isidro Metapan (0-0).

Alianza FC El Salvador shows a similar pattern with two wins and three draws in their last five. They found the net ten times but also conceded eight. Recent home results include a 2-1 win over CD Platense Zacatecoluca and a 3-2 victory against Municipal Limeno, but they also drew 2-2 with Luis Angel Firpo and Fuerte San Francisco. Their away form has been less convincing this season.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between CD FAS and Alianza FC El Salvador favors the away side historically. In 26 meetings, Alianza FC El Salvador has 12 wins, CD FAS has 6, and 8 matches ended in draws. The most recent clash on September 12, 2026, finished 0-0. Before that, Alianza FC El Salvador lost 0-2 at home to CD FAS in April 2026 and 1-3 in February 2026. The last four encounters show two CD FAS wins and two draws, indicating a shift in momentum toward the home team.

League Table Positions

CD FAS sits 3rd in the overall Primera Division standings with 24 points from 12 matches (7 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses). They have scored 22 goals and conceded 11. At home, they are unbeaten in five games (3 wins, 2 draws) with 9 goals scored and only 4 conceded. Alianza FC El Salvador is 6th with 18 points from 12 matches (4 wins, 6 draws, 2 losses), scoring 19 and conceding 17. On the road, they have managed just 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 7 goals for and 9 against. The table clearly shows CD FAS as the stronger side, especially at home.

Win Probability: CD FAS or Alianza FC El Salvador?

After analyzing all available data, the win probability for this CD FAS vs Alianza FC El Salvador match breaks down as follows: CD FAS has a 48% chance to win, the draw is at 27%, and Alianza FC El Salvador has a 25% chance. This calculation is based on the bookmaker odds, which heavily favor CD FAS, combined with their superior league position, strong home form, and recent head-to-head dominance. Alianza FC El Salvador's away struggles and lower table rank reduce their chances, though their ability to draw matches keeps the draw probability relatively high.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see CD FAS as the clear favorite. The best available odds for a home win are around 1.73, while a draw pays about 3.63, and an away win for Alianza FC El Salvador is priced as high as 5.50. These betting tips reflect the stats: CD FAS is unbeaten at home, has won the last two head-to-head meetings before the recent draw, and sits higher in the table. Based on the numbers, the most likely outcome is a CD FAS win, but a draw is a real possibility given both teams' recent form. The final CD FAS vs Alianza FC El Salvador prediction is a home victory, with under 2.5 total goals also worth considering.