Auxerre - Angers prediction 29/08/2026

Auxerre vs Angers prediction for Aug 29, 2026, in Ligue 1: Auxerre is the favorite with a 45% chance of winning. The match kicks off at 18:45 at Stade Abbé-Deschamps, and our betting tips focus on the odds, team form, and head-to-head record.

Team Form

Auxerre's last five results show a mixed run: L, W, D, L, W. Their most recent league match was a heavy 5-2 loss away to Lens, but they bounced back with a friendly win over Werder Bremen. Earlier, they drew 1-1 with Troyes and lost to US Orleans. At home, Auxerre have been inconsistent, winning only two of their last five at Stade Abbé-Deschamps.

Angers come into this game with form: L, W, W, L, W. They lost 2-0 at home to LOSC Lille in their opening Ligue 1 fixture. In friendlies, they beat Paris FC, Lorient, and Creteil, but lost to Le Mans. Angers have scored in all but one of their last five outings, which suggests they can trouble the Auxerre defense.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between Auxerre and Angers stands at 3 home wins for Auxerre, 6 draws, and 2 away wins for Angers. Looking at the last five meetings, Auxerre have won three times - all at home, with scorelines of 1-0, 3-1, and 1-0. Angers won the two matches played at their ground, both by 2-0. The head-to-head stats clearly favor home advantage, and Auxerre have never lost to Angers at Stade Abbé-Deschamps in this sample.

League Table Positions

Both Auxerre and Angers are outside the top 12 in the early Ligue 1 standings after the first round. Neither side has picked up a point yet. Auxerre sit with a goal difference of -3, while Angers are at -2. The table is still taking shape, but this match is crucial for two teams looking to avoid an early fight near the bottom.

Win Probability: Auxerre or Angers?

Based on the odds, recent form, head-to-head record, and home advantage, we calculate the win probability as follows: Auxerre have a 45% chance of winning, the draw is at 35%, and Angers have a 20% chance. The bookmakers' odds imply a very tight contest, but the head-to-head history at Stade Abbé-Deschamps and Auxerre's home factor push the percentages slightly in their favor. The draw remains a strong possibility, as 6 of the 11 encounters between these sides have ended level.

Odds & Match Prediction

The best odds for an Auxerre home win are around 2.00, with some bookmakers offering as low as 1.83. The draw is priced between 2.08 and 3.50, while an Angers away win can be backed at odds from 3.80 to 4.50. Auxerre are clearly the bookmakers' favorite. Our Auxerre vs Angers prediction: with a 45% chance of winning, Auxerre look the most likely side to take all three points, but the high draw probability makes the double chance 1X an interesting betting tip. Expect a tight match, possibly with under 2.5 goals, given the head-to-head trend of low-scoring games at this venue.