Antofagasta - Cobreloa prediction 10/09/2026

Antofagasta vs Cobreloa prediction for the Primera B match on Sep 10, 2026, at 23:00. Based on the stats, Antofagasta has a 45% chance of winning, the draw is at 30%, and Cobreloa has a 25% chance. This betting tips preview covers team form, head-to-head record, league table positions, and the latest odds.

Team Form

Antofagasta comes into this match with a mixed run of results in their last five games: two draws, two wins, and one loss (D, D, W, W, L). Their most recent match was a 1-2 home loss against Deportes Recoleta on Sep 06. Before that, they had a strong 4-0 away win against Deportes Copiapo and a 3-1 home win over Deportes Temuco. At home this season, Antofagasta has played 11 matches, winning 6, drawing 3, and losing 2, with 21 goals scored and only 9 conceded.

Cobreloa's last five results show two wins, one draw, and two losses (L, W, L, W, D). They are coming off a 2-4 away defeat against Cd San Luis DE Quillota on Sep 05. Before that loss, they beat San Marcos De Arica 2-0 at home. Cobreloa's away form has been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 6 draws, and 3 losses in 11 away matches, scoring 13 and conceding 18.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between these two teams is perfectly balanced, with 3 wins for Antofagasta and 3 wins for Cobreloa, and no draws. In their last meeting on May 03, 2026, Cobreloa won 2-0 at home. Antofagasta's last win in this fixture was a 3-0 home victory on Aug 10, 2025. The previous three encounters all ended in wins for the home side, showing a strong home advantage trend in this matchup.

League Table Positions

In the Primera B overall standings, Cobreloa sits in 2nd place with 41 points from 23 matches (11 wins, 8 draws, 4 losses). Antofagasta is close behind in 4th place with 37 points (10 wins, 7 draws, 6 losses). The gap between them is just 4 points. At home, Antofagasta ranks 6th with 21 points from 11 games. Cobreloa's away form places them 8th in the away table with only 12 points from 11 matches. This home vs away split is a key factor for the Antofagasta vs Cobreloa prediction.

Win Probability: Antofagasta or Cobreloa?

Who will win this match? Based on the available odds, form, and standings, we calculate the win probability as follows: Antofagasta has a 45% chance, the draw is at 30%, and Cobreloa has a 25% chance. The odds imply a tighter contest, but Antofagasta's strong home record (only 2 losses) and Cobreloa's poor away form (only 2 wins) tilt the probability in favor of the home side. The head-to-head record also supports the home team, with the last three Primera B meetings all won by the host. Antofagasta is more likely to win, but a draw is a significant possibility given Cobreloa's 6 away draws this season.

Odds & Match Prediction

The bookmakers' odds for this match are: Antofagasta win at 1.95, draw at 3.35, and Cobreloa win at 3.45. These odds show Antofagasta as the favorite, which aligns with our win probability assessment. The Antofagasta vs Cobreloa prediction based on the stats is a home win, but the value might be in the draw market considering Cobreloa's ability to grind out results on the road. Our betting tips focus on Antofagasta's solid defense at home and Cobreloa's struggles away. A low-scoring match is possible, with Antofagasta having a slight edge to secure all three points.