Arbroath - Queens Park prediction 25/09/2026

The Arbroath vs Queens Park prediction for the Championship match on September 25, 2026, points to Arbroath as the favorite with a 52% win probability. The game kicks off at 15:45 at Gayfield Park, and bookmakers also see the home side as the more likely winner.

Team Form

Arbroath come into this match with mixed recent results: two losses, a draw, and then two wins. They lost away to Stenhousemuir (1-0) and Raith Rovers (4-0), drew 1-1 at home with Dunfermline, then beat Livingston 1-0 at home and won 2-1 away at Greenock Morton. That home win and away victory give them some momentum.

Queens Park are struggling. Their last five matches read loss, loss, win, draw, loss. A 2-0 home defeat to Ayr United and a 2-0 loss at Dunfermline were followed by a 2-1 home win over Greenock Morton. They then drew 0-0 at Partick Thistle before losing 2-0 at home to Stenhousemuir. Away form is a real concern.

Head-to-Head Record

In 13 previous meetings, Arbroath have 5 wins, Queens Park have 7, and there has been 1 draw. The last five clashes, however, favor Arbroath with 3 wins to Queens Park's 2. The most recent match, on March 21, 2026, ended Arbroath 1-0 Queens Park at Gayfield Park. That home win will give Arbroath confidence.

League Table Positions

Arbroath sit 7th in the Championship with 8 points from 7 games (2 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses). At home they are unbeaten: 1 win and 2 draws from 3 matches, with only 1 goal conceded. Queens Park are 9th with just 4 points (1 win, 1 draw, 5 losses). Their away record is poor - no wins, 1 draw and 2 losses on the road, scoring only 1 goal and conceding 5.

Win Probability: Arbroath or Queens Park?

Based on the odds, team form, head-to-head record and league positions, we calculate the win probability as follows: Arbroath 52%, draw 28%, Queens Park 20%. The bookmakers' odds imply around a 43% chance for a home win, but Arbroath's strong home form and Queens Park's awful away performances push that number higher. The draw remains a realistic outcome - Arbroath have drawn two of three at home, and Queens Park managed a goalless draw in their last away game.

Odds & Match Prediction

The best available odds for this Arbroath vs Queens Park match are around 1.85 for a home win, 2.05 for the draw, and 4.20 for an away win. Bookmakers clearly see Arbroath as the favorite. Our Arbroath vs Queens Park prediction is a home win, but the stats also suggest a tight game where a draw cannot be ruled out. For betting tips, the home win offers value given the 52% probability, while the under 2.5 goals market may also be worth a look - Arbroath have scored only 4 goals in 7 league games, and Queens Park have scored 3.