Arsenal FC - Everton prediction 24/10/2026

The Arsenal FC vs Everton prediction for the Premier League match on Oct 24 at 11:00 points to a clear favorite. Based on the odds and team form, Arsenal FC has a 68% chance of winning, the draw sits at 20%, and Everton has a 12% chance. This Arsenal FC vs Everton preview breaks down the latest stats, head-to-head record, and betting tips to help you decide who will win.

Team Form

Arsenal FC comes into this match in strong form. In their last five games across all competitions, they have four wins and one loss. Recent results include a 3-0 home win against LOSC Lille in the UEFA Champions League on Oct 13, a 2-1 home win over Leeds United on Oct 10, and a 2-0 away victory at Sunderland on Sep 12. The only setback was a 3-0 loss at Brighton on Sep 19. At home, Arsenal FC has been perfect in the Premier League this season.

Everton's recent form shows two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five matches. They lost 0-2 at home to Chelsea on Oct 17, drew 2-2 at Hull City on Oct 11, and beat Ipswich Town 1-0 at home on Sep 19. Away from home, Everton has been harder to beat lately, with draws at Hull City and Tottenham Hotspur.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record shows Arsenal FC with 13 wins, Everton with 10 wins, and 5 draws in their overall meetings. The last five matches tell a clearer story. Arsenal FC won the most recent clash 2-0 at home on Mar 14, 2026. Earlier, they beat Everton 1-0 away on Dec 20, 2025. A 1-1 draw at Everton on Apr 5, 2025, and a 0-0 draw at the Emirates on Dec 14, 2024, were tighter affairs. Arsenal FC has not lost to Everton in their last five encounters.

League Table Positions

Arsenal FC sits 2nd in the Premier League table with 18 points from 7 matches. They have 6 wins and 1 loss, with 11 goals scored and 5 conceded. At home, they rank 3rd with a perfect 3 wins from 3 games, scoring 7 and conceding 2.

Everton is 8th with 10 points. They have 2 wins, 4 draws, and 1 loss, scoring 8 and conceding 7. Their away record is not fully detailed in the standings, but they have been competitive, as seen in their overall points tally. The gap between the teams is already 8 points, showing the difference in consistency so far.

Win Probability: Arsenal FC or Everton?

Our calculated win probability for this match gives Arsenal FC a 68% chance, the draw 20%, and Everton 12%. We based this on the bookmakers' odds, recent form, head-to-head record, and league positions. The best home win odds of 1.42 imply a probability above 70% before removing the margin, and we adjusted that down slightly after accounting for Everton's ability to draw matches. Arsenal FC's perfect home league record and dominant recent H2H results against Everton heavily influence this calculation. The question of who will win points strongly to the home side, but the draw is a reasonable secondary outcome.

Odds & Match Prediction

The bookmakers' odds for this match show a clear favorite. The available 1X2 odds include a home win for Arsenal FC at 1.42, a draw at 4.90, and an Everton away win at 9.60. Other bookmakers offer a home win as low as 1.36, a draw around 2.45-2.50, and an away win between 6.50 and 7.00.

Based on the stats, our Arsenal FC vs Everton prediction is a home victory. Arsenal FC's strong home form and recent head-to-head dominance make them the likely winners. The betting tips point toward the home win market, but cautious punters may consider the draw given Everton's four draws in seven league games. The odds do not offer huge value on the favorite, so checking the total goals markets could be an alternative angle for this Premier League fixture.