Pitbulls FC - Aserri/Once de Abril (11 de abril) prediction 12/10/2026

On October 12, 2026, Pitbulls FC hosts Aserri/Once de Abril (11 de abril) in a Liga de Ascenso match, and the Pitbulls FC vs Aserri/Once de Abril (11 de abril) prediction points to a home win with a 55% probability. The match kicks off at 22:00 in Costa Rica's second division, and the odds make Pitbulls FC the clear favorite based on recent form and home strength.

Team Form

Pitbulls FC comes into this match with two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five games (W, W, L, D, D). Their most recent outing was a 2-2 draw away against CS Uruguay de Coronado, before that another 2-2 draw at Guadalupe FC. They play with confidence at home, where they remain unbeaten in Liga de Ascenso this season.

Asfor Aserri/Once de Abril (11 de abril), their last five results show a pattern of inconsistency: two losses, two wins, and one draw (L, L, W, W, D). They lost 3-2 at home to Guadalupe FC and 1-0 away to Futbol Consultants Desamparados Moravia, but bounced back with a 1-0 home victory over AD Municipal Santa Ana and a 1-0 away win at CS Uruguay de Coronado. The away side struggles to find consistency on the road, with four losses in nine away league games.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-n-to-head record between these teams shows a slight advantage for Aserri/Once de Abril (11 de abril). In five previous meetings, Aserri/Once de Abril has won twice, Pitbulls FC once, and two matches ended in draws.

• Aug 22, 2026: Aserri/Once de Abril 1-1 Pitbulls FC
• Mar 2, 2026: Pitbulls FC 0-0 Aserri/Once de Abril
• Feb 18, 2026: Aserri/Once de Abril 1-0 Pitbulls FC
• Oct 22, 2025: Aserri/Once de Abril 1-0 Pitbulls FC
• Aug 18, 2025: Pitbulls FC 2-0 Aserri/Once de Abril

The most recent meeting in August ended in a 1-1 draw at Aserri's home, meaning Pitbulls FC has not lost in the last two direct confrontations (one win, one draw).

League Table Positions

In the overall Liga de Ascenso standings, Aserri/Once de Abril (11 de abril) sits in 1st place with 27 points from 18 games (8 wins, 3 draws, 7 losses). Pitbulls FC is 4th, with 19 points from just 10 matches (5 wins, 4 draws, 1 loss). The home side has a much better points-per-game ratio and a game in hand, which reflects their strong campaig.

Looking at home form specifically, Pitbulls FC is 2nd in the home table – 4 wins and 1 draw from 5 games, 13 points. Aserri/Once de Abril has the 1st away record in the league: 4 wins, 1 draw, 4 losses in 9 trips. The numbers suggest a close matchup but Pietbulls FC's perfect home record gives them the edge.

Win Probability: Pitbulls FC or Aserri/Once de Abril (11 de abril)?

After analyzing all available data, the win probability for this match is: Pitbulls FC 55%, draw 25%, Aserri/Once de Abril (11 de abril) 20%. The calculation starts from the bookmakers' odds, which imply around 52% for a home win. That base is then adjusted upward thanks to Pitbulls FC's unbeaten home record (4W-1D-0L) and recent solid results. Aserri's away form is mixed – they win some but lose just as often – and the head-to-head gives them only a slight historical edge. The most important factor is the venue: Pitbulls FC has been very difficult to beat at home this season, while Aserri/Once de Abril has already lost four away league games. So the answer to the question “who will win” is clearly the home side, with a 55% chance of taking all three points.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers offer the following 1X2 odds: home victory at 1.73 with one bookie and 1.70 with another, the draw is priced at 3.50 / 3.45, and an away win at 4.00. These odds reflect the market perception that Pitbulls FC is the favorite. The match prediction based on the stats is a home win for Pitbulls FC. They are more consistent, they have a strong home record, and their win probability is significantly higher than the other outcomes. When betting, the 1.73 offers reasonable value considering the calculated 55% chance. For those looking for betting tips, the home win market is the standout pick, while the under 2.5 goals could also be worth considering because three of the last five H2H meetings featured two goals or fewer.