Comerciantes Loreto - Asociacion Deportiva Agropecuaria prediction 11/10/2026

Our Comerciantes Loreto vs Asociacion Deportiva Agropecuaria prediction for October 11, 2026, points to a tight Segunda Division contest in Peru. The match kicks off at 17:15 local time, and based on the stats, Comerciantes Loreto has a 52% chance of winning, the draw is at 30%, and Asociacion Deportiva Agropecuaria has an 18% chance. The home side's strong record at their own ground is the key factor in this betting tip.

Team Form

Comerciantes Loreto come into this match with mixed recent results. Their last five games show a pattern of L-W-L-D-D. A heavy 5-1 home win against Ayacucho FC on Sep 4 stands out, but a 1-0 away loss to Escuela Municipal Deportivo Binacional and a 1-0 home defeat to Sport Huancayo Reserves highlight some inconsistency. They have scored 7 goals in these five matches.

Asociacion Deportiva Agropecuaria have been slightly more consistent on the road lately. Their away form reads W-D-W-W-L in the last five matches. They secured a solid 1-0 win at Sport Huancayo Reserves on Oct 7 and another 1-0 victory at Universidad Cesar Vallejo. A 3-1 loss at Universidad San Martin is the only recent blemish. They have kept three clean sheets in those five games, showing defensive strength.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between these two teams is perfectly balanced. They have met twice, both in the Segunda Division, and both matches ended in draws. The most recent meeting on Aug 30, 2025, finished 2-2, while the earlier clash on Jul 26, 2025, ended 1-1. With 0 wins for each side and 2 draws, the history suggests another close match is likely.

League Table Positions

In the overall Segunda Division standings, Comerciantes Loreto sit 5th with 26 points from 16 matches (6 wins, 8 draws, 2 losses). Asociacion Deportiva Agropecuaria are 12th with 21 points from 15 games (5 wins, 6 draws, 4 losses). The home table is where Comerciantes Loreto really shine - they are 4th with 18 points from 8 home games and remain unbeaten at home (5 wins, 3 draws). Asociacion Deportiva Agropecuaria are 7th in the away table with 10 points from 8 road trips.

Win Probability: Comerciantes Loreto or Asociacion Deportiva Agropecuaria?

Who will win this match? We calculate the win probability based on form, head-to-head stats, and league positions. Comerciantes Loreto have a 52% chance to win, the draw is at 30%, and Asociacion Deportiva Agropecuaria have an 18% chance. The home team's unbeaten record at their stadium is the biggest factor. Asociacion Deportiva Agropecuaria's recent away wins add some uncertainty, but the H2H record of two draws and Comerciantes Loreto's higher league position tip the scales in favor of the home side.

Odds & Match Prediction

Odds for this match are not available in the current data, but based on the stats, bookmakers would likely see Comerciantes Loreto as the favorite. The home advantage, combined with their 5th-place standing and the visitors' mid-table away form, points to a home win. However, the two previous draws between these sides mean a bet on the draw could offer value. Our final Comerciantes Loreto vs Asociacion Deportiva Agropecuaria prediction is a narrow home victory, but a low-scoring draw cannot be ruled out given the H2H history.