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AS Roma - Atalanta prediction 05/09/2026

Italy · Serie A·

Match info

Competição
Serie A · Italy
Início

Forma recente

últimos 5 jogos
AS Roma

AS RomaSlovan Bratislava40VUEFA Champions League

AS RomaGenoa20VSerie A

AS RomaReal Madrid34DUEFA Champions League

Como 1907AS Roma00ESerie A

AS RomaInter Milan22ESerie A
Atalanta

AjaxAtalanta20DUEFA Conference League

AC MilanAtalanta32DSerie A

AtalantaPafos FC31VUEFA Conference League

AtalantaVenezia31VSerie A

JuventusAtalanta20DSerie A

Confronto direto

22 confrontos
AS Roma 5Empates 710 Atalanta

AS RomaAtalanta21Serie A

AS RomaAtalanta11Serie A

AtalantaAS Roma10Serie A

AtalantaAS Roma21Serie A

AS RomaAtalanta02Serie A

AS RomaAtalanta11Serie A

AtalantaAS Roma31Serie A

AS RomaAtalanta01Serie A

AS RomaAtalanta01Serie A

AS RomaAtalanta10Serie A

Serie A 2026 · classificação

#TimeJVEDGPts
1Inter761021:919
2Lazio761014:419
3AS Roma752016:317
4AC Milan743014:715
5Como 1907742112:714
6Frosinone741213:913
7Cagliari74126:713
8Juventus73229:811
9Napoli731310:710
10Torino731310:910
11Atalanta730410:119
12Lecce73049:129
13Sassuolo722312:148
14Monza721413:157
15Bologna71246:105
16Udinese71159:164
17Genoa71155:134
18Fiorentina71158:174
19Parma71154:134
20Venezia71066:163

AS Roma vs Atalanta prediction for the Serie A match on Sep 05, 2026, at 18:45 in Stadio Olimpico, Roma. Based on the latest odds, team form, and head-to-head record, AS Roma enters as the favorite with a 50% win probability, while Atalanta has a 23% chance and the draw sits at 27%. This betting tips guide breaks down all the key stats to help you decide who will win.

Team Form

AS Roma's last five results: W, D, L, W, L. They crushed Fiorentina 4-0 at home in their most recent Serie A outing, but friendlies showed inconsistency - a 2-2 draw with Borussia Dortmund, a 3-0 loss to Brighton, a 4-1 win over Newport County, and a 4-1 defeat to Cardiff City. At home in the league, Roma looked dominant with that 4-0 victory.

Atalanta's form is stronger: W, W, D, W, W. They beat Hapoel Tel Aviv 1-0 away in UEFA Conference League qualification, edged Sassuolo 2-1 at home in Serie A, drew 0-0 with Hapoel Tel Aviv at home, and won friendlies against Athletic Bilbao (1-0) and Schalke 04 (3-0 away). Atalanta has not lost in five matches and shows solid defense on the road.

Head-to-Head Record

In 21 previous meetings, Atalanta leads with 10 wins, AS Roma has 4, and 7 ended in draws. The last five head-to-head matches: AS Roma 1-1 Atalanta (Apr 2026), Atalanta 1-0 AS Roma (Jan 2026), Atalanta 2-1 AS Roma (May 2025), AS Roma 0-2 Atalanta (Dec 2024), and AS Roma 1-1 Atalanta (Jan 2024). Atalanta has won three of the last five, with two draws, showing a clear edge in recent encounters.

League Table Positions

Both clubs have 6 points from 2 Serie A matches. AS Roma sits 1st with a +8 goal difference (8 scored, 0 conceded), while Atalanta is 5th with +2 (3 scored, 1 conceded). Roma's only home league game was a 4-0 win; Atalanta has yet to play an away league match this season, but their away form across all competitions is strong.

Win Probability: AS Roma or Atalanta?

After normalizing bookmaker odds and adjusting for form and H2H, the win probability breaks down as: AS Roma 50%, draw 27%, Atalanta 23%. The odds imply Roma as the favorite, but Atalanta's recent performances and head-to-head dominance reduce the gap. Home advantage at Stadio Olimpico gives Roma a slight edge, yet Atalanta's unbeaten run makes the draw a realistic outcome.

Odds & Match Prediction

1X2 odds from multiple bookmakers show AS Roma win between 1.70 and 1.80, draw between 2.12 and 3.95, and Atalanta win between 4.20 and 5.10. The market clearly favors the home side. Our AS Roma vs Atalanta prediction: a tight contest with Roma likely to avoid defeat. Betting tips point to a home win or draw double chance, and under 2.5 goals could be value given Atalanta's defensive record away.

AS Roma vs Atalanta – FAQ

Who will win AS Roma vs Atalanta?
AS Roma has a 50% chance to win, the draw is at 27%, and Atalanta has a 23% chance. Roma is the favorite based on odds and home advantage, but Atalanta's strong form and better head-to-head record make an upset possible.
What is the win probability for AS Roma?
AS Roma has a 50% win probability. This number comes from bookmaker odds (implied probability around 55%) adjusted for Atalanta's recent results and the historical matchup, which slightly lowers Roma's edge.
When is the AS Roma vs Atalanta match?
The match is on Sep 05, 2026, at 18:45 local time. It will be played at Stadio Olimpico in Roma, Italy, as part of the Serie A competition.
What are the odds for AS Roma vs Atalanta?
Odds for a Roma home win range from 1.70 to 1.80, a draw from 2.12 to 3.95, and an Atalanta away win from 4.20 to 5.10. These 1X2 odds reflect Roma as the clear favorite.
What is the head-to-head record between AS Roma and Atalanta?
In 21 matches, Atalanta won 10, AS Roma won 4, and 7 were draws. Atalanta has won three of the last five meetings, with two draws, including a 1-0 victory in January 2026.