Atlante - CF Monterrey Rayados prediction 25/09/2026

Our Atlante vs CF Monterrey Rayados prediction for the Liga MX match on Sep 26 at 01:00 is here. The game will be played at Estadio Azteca in Mexico City. Based on the stats, CF Monterrey Rayados is the favorite with a 45% win probability, while Atlante has a 30% chance and the draw sits at 25%.

Team Form

Atlante comes into this match without a win in their last five games. Their recent results are D, L, D, D, L. They drew 1-1 against Puebla on Sep 19, lost 0-3 at home to Pachuca on Sep 12, and drew 1-1 with Atlas Guadalajara on Sep 06. Before that, they drew 1-1 with Club Leon and lost 2-0 to Tigres UANL. Scoring has been a problem, with only 3 goals in those 5 matches.

CF Monterrey Rayados has been a bit better, with a W, D, D, L, L record in their last five. They beat Cruz Azul 1-0 at home on Sep 20, drew 0-0 with Tigres UANL on Sep 13, and drew 0-0 with Queretaro on Sep 05. A 1-3 home loss to Atletico San Luis and a 2-0 away loss to Club Leon complete the picture. Their defense has been solid in three of those games, keeping clean sheets.

Head-to-Head Record

There is no head-to-head data available for these two teams. This will be a fresh matchup, so we rely on current form and league standings for this Atlante vs CF Monterrey Rayados prediction.

League Table Positions

CF Monterrey Rayados is 7th in the Liga MX overall table with 13 points from 8 games (4 wins, 1 draw, 3 losses). They have scored 14 goals and conceded 10. At home, they are strong - 3rd in the home table with 10 points from 5 games (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss). Atlante is not in the top 12 of the overall standings shown, which suggests they are lower in the table. The gap in points and home advantage for CF Monterrey Rayados is a key factor in our betting tips.

Win Probability: Atlante or CF Monterrey Rayados?

Who will win this match? We calculate the win probability based on odds, form, and table positions. The bookmaker odds average around 3.48 for an Atlante win, 2.29 for the draw, and 2.27 for a CF Monterrey Rayados win. After removing the margin, the implied chances are roughly 30% for Atlante, 25% for the draw, and 45% for CF Monterrey Rayados. The away team's better league position and solid home form - even though this is technically a neutral venue or away game - give them the edge. Atlante's poor recent form with no wins in five also lowers their chances. So, CF Monterrey Rayados has a 45% chance of winning, the draw is at 25%, and Atlante has a 30% chance.

Odds & Match Prediction

The odds for this Liga MX game show a close contest. One bookmaker offers 3.55 for an Atlante win, 2.28 for the draw, and 2.28 for a CF Monterrey Rayados win. Another has 3.40, 2.30, and 2.25. Bookmakers see CF Monterrey Rayados as the slight favorite. Our Atlante vs CF Monterrey Rayados prediction is a win for CF Monterrey Rayados, based on the stats. The win probability and form point to an away victory, but a draw is also a real possibility given Atlante's three recent draws.