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Deportivo Lara - Atletico El Vigia prediction 16/09/2026

Match info

Competição
Segunda Division · Venezuela
Início

Forma recente

últimos 5 jogos
Deportivo Lara

Barquisimeto SCDeportivo Lara01VSegunda Division

Deportivo LaraZamora FC Barinas II20VSegunda Division

Academia Puerto Cabello BDeportivo Lara21DSegunda Division

Deportivo LaraLa Real Frontera40VSegunda Division

YaracuyanosDeportivo Lara01VSegunda Division
Atletico El Vigia

Club Atletico BarinasAtletico El Vigia01VSegunda Division

Atletico El VigiaUrena22ESegunda Division

Barquisimeto SCAtletico El Vigia24VSegunda Division

Atletico El VigiaZamora FC Barinas II43VSegunda Division

Academia Puerto Cabello BAtletico El Vigia11ESegunda Division

Confronto direto

4 confrontos
Deportivo Lara 2Empates 11 Atletico El Vigia

Deportivo LaraAtletico El Vigia30Segunda Division

Atletico El VigiaDeportivo Lara21Segunda Division

Deportivo LaraAtletico El Vigia10Segunda Division

Atletico El VigiaDeportivo Lara22Segunda Division

Segunda Division 2026 · classificação

#TimeJVEDGPts
1Deportivo Lara31216454:2269
2Barquisimeto SC31158854:3653
3Yaracuyanos31157949:3152
4Urena311211844:4147
5Monagas Reserves24136537:2545
6Atletico El Vigia321281243:5244
7Petare FC25125833:2441
8Aragua FC251010528:1940
9Bolívar25124931:3140
10Zamora FC B301171246:4640
11Club Atletico Barinas311051654:6335
12Academia Puerto Cabello B32971638:4834
13Dynamo Puerto2589830:3033
14Mineros De Guayana25491226:3621
15Marítimo1455416:1320
16La Real Frontera31432427:7015
17Atletico Avila251101412:3513

Deportivo Lara vs Atletico El Vigia prediction for the Segunda Division match on Sep 16, 2026, at 23:00. Based on the odds, team form, and league table, Deportivo Lara is the clear favorite with a 60% win probability. Atletico El Vigia has only a 15% chance to win, while the draw is at 25%.

Team Form

Deportivo Lara arrives in excellent shape, winning their last five matches. They beat Club Atletico Barinas (1-0), Urena (1-0), Barquisimeto SC (2-1), Zamora FC Barinas II (2-0), and Academia Puerto Cabello Reserves (3-0). That is five straight wins with 9 goals scored and only 1 conceded.

Atletico El Vigia also shows strong recent form with four wins and one draw in their last five. They defeated Yaracuyanos (1-0), Club Atletico Barinas (2-1), Barquisimeto SC (5-2), and Zamora FC Barinas II (2-0), and drew 0-0 with Academia Puerto Cabello Reserves. However, their overall season has been inconsistent, sitting mid-table.

Head-to-Head Record

The last three meetings between these teams are balanced: one win for Deportivo Lara, one for Atletico El Vigia, and one draw. The most recent match on Jul 29, 2026, saw Atletico El Vigia win 2-1 at home. Before that, Deportivo Lara won 1-0 at home on Apr 25, 2026, and the first clash ended 2-2 on Mar 01, 2026. The head-to-head record suggests a competitive match, but current form and league position heavily favor Deportivo Lara.

League Table Positions

Deportivo Lara leads the Segunda Division with 54 points from 25 matches (16 wins, 6 draws, 3 losses). They have scored 42 goals and conceded only 20. Atletico El Vigia is 11th with 30 points (8 wins, 6 draws, 11 losses), with a negative goal difference (28 scored, 40 conceded). Deportivo Lara is also the best away team in the league, while Atletico El Vigia struggles on the road. The 24-point gap and home advantage make Deportivo Lara the strong favorite.

Win Probability: Deportivo Lara or Atletico El Vigia?

After analyzing the odds, form, and standings, we calculate the following win probabilities: Deportivo Lara 60%, draw 25%, Atletico El Vigia 15%. The bookmakers' odds (1.80 for a home win) imply a 50% chance, but Deportivo Lara's perfect recent form and top position push that number higher. Atletico El Vigia's away record is poor, and they have lost 11 times this season. The draw probability reflects the H2H history, but a home win is the most likely outcome.

Odds & Match Prediction

The best available odds for this match are: Deportivo Lara win at 1.80, draw at 2.50, and Atletico El Vigia win at 6.50. These odds confirm Deportivo Lara as the favorite. Our Deportivo Lara vs Atletico El Vigia prediction is a home win, based on the stats and the 60% win probability. For betting tips, backing Deportivo Lara to win offers value, and the under 2.5 goals market could also be interesting given their solid defense.

Deportivo Lara vs Atletico El Vigia – FAQ

Who will win Deportivo Lara vs Atletico El Vigia?
Deportivo Lara has a 60% chance of winning, the draw is at 25%, and Atletico El Vigia has a 15% chance. Deportivo Lara is the strong favorite due to their top position in the league and perfect recent form.
What is the win probability for Deportivo Lara?
Deportivo Lara has a 60% win probability. This is based on their league-leading 54 points, five consecutive wins, and home advantage against a mid-table Atletico El Vigia side.
When is the Deportivo Lara vs Atletico El Vigia match?
The match is on Sep 16, 2026, at 23:00. It is a Segunda Division fixture in Venezuela.
What are the odds for the match?
The odds are: Deportivo Lara win at 1.80, draw at 2.50, and Atletico El Vigia win at 6.50. These odds show Deportivo Lara as the clear favorite.