Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Paysandu FC prediction 17/10/2026

The Atletico Fenix Montevideo vs Paysandu FC prediction for October 17, 2026, points to a home advantage in this Segunda Division clash. Atletico Fenix Montevideo enters the match as the favorite with a 52% win probability, while Paysandu FC faces an uphill battle at 23%. The match kicks off at 14:00 local time in Uruguay.

Team Form

Atletico Fenix Montevideo comes into this game with a mixed but decent run in their last five matches: D, W, L, D, W. They are unbeaten in three of their last five and recently earned a solid 2-0 home win against Uruguay Montevideo on October 4. Their most recent outing was a 0-0 draw away at Huracan FC on October 11.

Paysandu FC's recent form reads W, L, D, D, L. They managed a 2-1 home win against Rentistas on October 10 but have struggled for consistency. Before that, they suffered a 1-0 loss at Miramar Misiones and a 1-0 home defeat to La Luz. With only one win in their last five, finding rhythm away from home will be a challenge.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between these two teams is limited to just one previous meeting. That match took place on July 13, 2026, in the Segunda Division, where Paysandu FC secured a 1-0 home victory over Atletico Fenix Montevideo. With only one win for the away side in the H2H, there is not much historical data to lean on, but it gives Paysandu FC a psychological edge from that single encounter.

League Table Positions

Looking at the overall Segunda Division standings, Atletico Fenix Montevideo (listed as Fenix) sits in 3rd place with 11 points from 6 matches, having scored 13 goals and conceded 7. Paysandu FC is down in 11th place with just 4 points from 6 games, scoring only 4 goals and conceding 7. The home table shows Fenix in 3rd with 7 points from 3 home games, while Paysandu FC does not feature in the top 8 of the away standings, highlighting their travel struggles.

Win Probability: Atletico Fenix Montevideo or Paysandu FC?

Based on the available stats, form, and league positions, the win probability for this match is calculated as follows: Atletico Fenix Montevideo has a 52% chance of winning, the draw is at 25%, and Paysandu FC has a 23% chance. The home team's stronger league position, better recent form, and home advantage heavily influence these percentages. Paysandu FC's only H2H win keeps their chances from being lower, but their poor away record and low scoring output make an away win unlikely.

Odds & Match Prediction

Odds for this match are not available in the current data, but bookmakers typically set the home side as the favorite in such a matchup. The Atletico Fenix Montevideo vs Paysandu FC prediction leans toward a home win based on the stats. Atletico Fenix Montevideo's solid home form and higher table position give them the edge, while Paysandu FC's inconsistent results suggest they will struggle to take points on the road. A low-scoring game is possible, with the home team likely to edge it by a single goal.