Atletico Goianiense GO - Criciuma SC prediction 13/09/2026

Atletico Goianiense GO vs Criciuma SC prediction for the Serie B match on Sep 13 at 19:00. Based on the latest form, head-to-head record, and league table positions, Atletico Goianiense GO enters this match as a slight favorite with a 42% win probability. Criciuma SC has a 30% chance, and the draw is at 28%.

Team Form

Atletico Goianiense GO comes into this match with a mixed run of results in their last five games: D, W, W, D, L. They drew 2-2 away against Juventude RS on Sep 05 and beat Avai SC 1-0 on Aug 30. A strong 3-0 home win over Botafogo SP on Aug 25 showed their potential, but a 0-2 home loss to Vila Nova GO on Aug 15 exposed some weaknesses. Overall, Atletico Goianiense GO has 10 wins, 10 draws, and 6 losses in 26 league matches.

Criciuma SC's recent form reads L, W, L, L, D. They lost 0-2 at home to Juventude RS on Sep 09 and fell 1-2 away to CRB AL on Aug 30. A 2-0 home win against Cuiaba MT on Sep 04 was a bright spot. With 13 wins, 8 draws, and 6 losses in 27 matches, Criciuma SC sits higher in the table but has been inconsistent on the road lately.

Head-to-Head Record

In 13 previous meetings, Atletico Goianiense GO has 6 wins, Criciuma SC has 3 wins, and there have been 4 draws. The most recent match on May 17, 2026, ended in a 1-1 draw when Criciuma SC hosted. Before that, Criciuma SC won 1-0 at home in Nov 2025 and 1-0 away in Jul 2025. Atletico Goianiense GO's last win in this fixture was a 3-1 home victory in Sep 2023. The head-to-head record suggests a tight contest, with Atletico Goianiense GO historically stronger at home.

League Table Positions

Criciuma SC is 2nd in the Serie B overall standings with 47 points from 27 matches, while Atletico Goianiense GO is 8th with 40 points from 26 matches. At home, Atletico Goianiense GO has a solid record: 6 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses in 13 games, ranking 8th in the home table. Criciuma SC's away form is decent, with 5 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses in 13 away matches, placing them 5th in the away standings. The points gap is 7, but Atletico Goianiense GO has a game in hand and the home advantage.

Win Probability: Atletico Goianiense GO or Criciuma SC?

After analyzing the data, the win probability for this match is: Atletico Goianiense GO 42%, draw 28%, Criciuma SC 30%. These percentages are calculated from the available odds, adjusted for recent form and home/away performance. The bookmakers' average odds imply a home win probability around 42% when the margin is removed. Atletico Goianiense GO's home form (6 wins in 13) and Criciuma SC's slightly shaky away results (2 losses in the last 3 away games) tilt the balance toward the home side. However, Criciuma SC's higher league position and better overall record keep them within striking distance. The draw is a real possibility given the 1-1 result in their last meeting.

Odds & Match Prediction

The odds for this Atletico Goianiense GO vs Criciuma SC match show the home win priced between 2.15 and 2.38, the draw around 1.90 to 3.10, and an away win from 3.65 to 4.20. Bookmakers see Atletico Goianiense GO as the favorite, which aligns with the home advantage and historical edge. Based on the stats, the most likely outcome is a narrow home win, but a low-scoring draw cannot be ruled out. For betting tips, the under 2.5 goals market looks interesting given both teams' recent scoring records.