CD Junior FC - Deportivo Pereira prediction 14/10/2026

Our CD Junior FC vs Deportivo Pereira prediction for this Primera A match on Oct 14 at 18:30 points to a home win. Based on the stats, CD Junior FC has a 55% chance of winning, the draw is at 25%, and Deportivo Pereira has a 20% chance.

Team Form

CD Junior FC come into this game with mixed results. Their last five matches show two wins, two losses and one draw (W, W, L, L, D). The most recent was a 2-2 home draw against Inter Bogota FC on Oct 10. Before that, they lost 3-1 away to Atletico Bucaramanga and 3-1 away to Atletico Nacional Medellin. The wins were a 2-0 home victory over EDP Independiente Medellin and a 4-1 away win at Fortaleza Zipaquira.

Deportivo Pereira are struggling for wins. Their last five results are three draws and two losses (D, D, D, L, L). They drew 0-0 at home with Deportivo Cali on Oct 10. Before that, they lost 4-0 away to Cucuta Deportivo and 2-1 at home to Independiente Santa Fe. The other draws were 0-0 at home against Inter Bogota FC and 2-2 away at Rionegro Aguilas.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between CD Junior FC and Deportivo Pereira is close. In 25 meetings, CD Junior FC have 10 wins, Deportivo Pereira have 8, and there have been 7 draws. The last match was a 0-0 draw on Aug 11, 2026. Before that, CD Junior FC won 3-2 away on Feb 2, 2026. The previous three games saw a 3-2 home win for CD Junior FC, a 1-0 away loss, and a 3-1 home win. CD Junior FC have won three of the last five head-to-head matches.

League Table Positions

In the Primera A overall standings, CD Junior FC sit 2nd with 35 points from 19 games. They have 11 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses. Deportivo Pereira are not in the top 12 shown. At home, CD Junior FC are 7th with 19 points from 10 games. Away from home, CD Junior FC are actually 1st with 16 points from 9 games. This shows they are strong on the road, but they are the home team here. Deportivo Pereira's away form is not listed in the top 8, which suggests they struggle on their travels.

Win Probability: CD Junior FC or Deportivo Pereira?

Who will win this match? We calculate the win probability based on the odds, form, head-to-head record and league positions. The bookmakers' average odds are around 1.24 for a CD Junior FC win, 3.48 for a draw and 9.21 for a Deportivo Pereira win. After removing the margin, the implied probabilities are roughly 78% for a home win, 11% for a draw and 11% for an away win. However, CD Junior FC's recent form is not perfect, and Deportivo Pereira have drawn three of their last five. The head-to-head is also competitive. We adjust the probabilities to reflect these factors. Our final win probability is: CD Junior FC 55%, draw 25%, Deportivo Pereira 20%. CD Junior FC are the clear favorites, but the draw is a real possibility.

Odds & Match Prediction

The best available odds for this match show CD Junior FC at 1.22, the draw at 2.52 and Deportivo Pereira at 8.30. Other bookmakers offer similar prices, with the home win as short as 1.22 and the away win as high as 12.50. This confirms the market sees CD Junior FC as the strong favorite. Our CD Junior FC vs Deportivo Pereira prediction is a home win, but with Deportivo Pereira's recent draws, a low-scoring game could be on the cards. Based on the stats, the most likely outcome is a CD Junior FC victory.