ScorePulseFutebol

Atletico Mineiro MG - Chapecoense SC prediction 19/09/2026

Brazil · Serie A·

Match info

Competição
Serie A · Brazil
Início

Forma recente

últimos 5 jogos
Atletico Mineiro MG

Montevideo City TorqueAtletico Mineiro MG20DCopa Sudamericana

Atletico Mineiro MGCoritiba PR10VSerie A

Atletico Mineiro MGMontevideo City Torque30VCopa Sudamericana

Atletico Mineiro MGSantos SP21VSerie A

Atletico Paranaense PRAtletico Mineiro MG22ESerie A
Chapecoense SC

Botafogo RJChapecoense SC10DSerie A

Chapecoense SCAtletico Paranaense PR14DSerie A

Vitoria BAChapecoense SC40DSerie A

Atletico Nacional MedellinChapecoense SC11EFriendly Clubs

Atletico Mineiro MGChapecoense SC11ESerie A

Confronto direto

20 confrontos
Atletico Mineiro MG 3Empates 116 Chapecoense SC

Atletico Mineiro MGChapecoense SC11Serie A

Chapecoense SCAtletico Mineiro MG04Serie A

Chapecoense SCAtletico Mineiro MG22Serie A

Atletico Mineiro MGChapecoense SC11Serie A

Atletico Mineiro MGChapecoense SC11Serie A

Atletico Mineiro MGChapecoense SC02Serie A

Chapecoense SCAtletico Mineiro MG12Serie A

Chapecoense SCAtletico Mineiro MG10Serie A

Chapecoense SCAtletico Mineiro MG10Serie A

Chapecoense SCAtletico Mineiro MG10Serie A

Serie A 2026 · classificação

#TimeJVEDGPts
1Flamengo RJ31207461:2567
2Palmeiras SP31199354:2266
3Atletico Paranaense PR31158849:3753
4Cruzeiro MG311561050:4651
5Fluminense31149849:3951
6Atletico Mineiro MG31148942:3550
7Bahia BA311310844:3949
8Santos311291048:4645
9Sao Paulo SP311261336:3542
10Red Bull Bragantino SP311181239:3641
11Botafogo RJ311091244:4839
12Coritiba PR311091238:4939
13Vitoria BA311071434:4537
14Mirassol SP31991336:4436
15Vasco DA Gama30981336:4335
16Corinthians SP31891432:3933
17Internacional RS317111333:4032
18Gremio RS317101434:4431
19Remo PA315111534:4926
20Chapecoense-sc30391830:6218

Our Atletico Mineiro MG vs Chapecoense SC prediction covers the Serie A match on Sep 19, 2026, at Arena MRV. Atletico Mineiro MG is the favorite with a 55% win probability, backed by strong home form and bookmaker odds. The game kicks off at 19:00 local time in Belo Horizonte.

Team Form

Atletico Mineiro MG comes into this match with three wins in the last five games (W L L W W). The home side beat Fluminense RJ 3-1, Cruzeiro MG 2-1, and Vitoria BA 2-1, losing only away fixtures against Santos SP and Sao Paulo SP. At home in the league, Atletico Mineiro MG has 6 wins, 4 draws, and just 1 loss from 11 matches, a very solid record.

Chapecoense SC shows a mixed recent form (L W L W D). They lost 1-2 to Internacional RS, beat Corinthians SP 2-1 away, lost 1-3 to Gremio RS, defeated Sao Paulo SP 1-0, and drew 3-3 with Bahia BA. Away from home, Chapecoense SC does not appear in the top 12 of the away standings, which suggests a weaker away performance.

Head-to-Head Record

The H2H stats between Atletico Mineiro MG and Chapecoense SC cover 19 matches. Atletico Mineiro MG has 3 wins, Chapecoense SC has 6, and 10 matches ended in a draw. The last meeting was on Apr 02, 2026, when Atletico Mineiro MG won 4-0 away at Chapecoense SC. The high number of draws in this fixture is a key factor for any Atletico Mineiro MG vs Chapecoense SC prediction and betting tips.

League Table Positions

Atletico Mineiro MG sits 8th in the Brasileirao Serie A with 36 points from 25 games (10W 6D 9L). Their home record is 6W 4D 1L, accumulating 22 points at Arena MRV. Chapecoense SC is not in the top 12 of the league table, indicating a lower position. The gap in the standings and the home advantage clearly favor the home side.

Win Probability: Atletico Mineiro MG or Chapecoense SC?

The win probability calculation starts from the bookmaker odds. The average odds give implied chances of about 54% for a home win, 33% for a draw, and 13% for an away win. After adjusting for Atletico Mineiro MG strong home form (only one loss) and the historical H2H trend of frequent draws, we estimate: Atletico Mineiro MG 55%, draw 30%, Chapecoense SC 15%. So, the data clearly says Atletico Mineiro MG has a much better chance of winning this match.

Odds & Match Prediction

The best odds available show Atletico Mineiro MG win around 1.40 – 1.43, the draw between 2.32 and 2.40, and Chapecoense SC away win between 5.90 and 6.50. Bookmakers see Atletico Mineiro MG as the clear favorite. Our final Atletico Mineiro MG vs Chapecoense SC prediction is a home win, but the high draw percentage in H2H history makes the draw a solid alternative in betting tips. A cautious bet on Atletico Mineiro MG to win seems the safest option.

Atletico Mineiro MG vs Chapecoense SC – FAQ

Who will win Atletico Mineiro MG vs Chapecoense SC?
Atletico Mineiro MG has a 55% chance to win, a draw has 30%, and Chapecoense SC has 15%. So Atletico Mineiro MG is the most likely winner based on odds and current form.
What is the win probability for Atletico Mineiro MG?
Atletico Mineiro MG has a 55% probability to beat Chapecoense SC. This percentage is based on bookmaker odds, the team's strong home record, and the recent head-to-head result.
When is the Atletico Mineiro MG vs Chapecoense SC match?
The match is on September 19, 2026, at 19:00 local time. It is a Brazilian Serie A fixture, played at the Arena MRV in Belo Horizonte.
What are the odds for the match?
Odds for an Atletico Mineiro MG win are between 1.40 and 1.43. The draw is priced around 2.32 – 2.40, and a Chapecoense SC away win is between 5.90 and 6.50.