Atletico Rafaela - Tristan Suarez prediction 29/08/2026

Atletico Rafaela vs Tristan Suarez prediction for the Primera Nacional match on Aug 29 at 19:00. Based on the stats, Atletico Rafaela has a 32% chance to win, the draw is at 38%, and Tristan Suarez has a 30% chance. The bookmakers see a tight game, but the home team enters as the slight favorite to take the three points.

Team Form

Atletico Rafaela comes into this match unbeaten in their last five games, with two wins and three draws. Their recent results: 0-0 away against Club Atletico Guemes, 0-0 at home to Defensores de Belgrano, a 1-0 home win over Chacarita Juniors, a 1-1 draw at San Martin De San Juan, and a 1-0 home victory against Nueva Chicago. The defense has been solid, keeping three clean sheets in that run.

Tristan Suarez is in outstanding form, winning all of their last five matches. They beat Agropecuario 2-0 at home, Almirante Brown 3-1 at home, won 2-0 away at Gimnasia Jujuy, 3-1 away at Club Atletico Guemes, and 1-0 at home against Chacarita Juniors. The team has scored 11 goals and conceded only 2 in those five games, showing both attacking power and defensive stability.

Head-to-Head Record

In the last six meetings between Atletico Rafaela and Tristan Suarez, Atletico Rafaela has won twice, Tristan Suarez once, and three matches ended in draws. The most recent encounters were two 0-0 draws, in April 2026 and June 2023. Before that, Atletico Rafaela won 3-0 at home in February 2023, while Tristan Suarez recorded a 4-0 home win in June 2022. The overall head-to-head record shows a balanced rivalry with a tendency toward low-scoring games.

League Table Positions

In the overall Primera Nacional standings, Tristan Suarez sits in 2nd place with 48 points from 25 matches (13 wins, 9 draws, 3 losses). Atletico Rafaela is not in the top 12 overall. However, at home, Atletico Rafaela is strong: 8th in the home table with 27 points from 13 home games (8 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses), scoring 13 goals and conceding only 6. Tristan Suarez is 2nd in the away table with 22 points from 12 away matches (6 wins, 4 draws, 2 losses), with 12 goals scored and 6 conceded. Both teams are among the best in their respective home and away contexts, which points to a very even contest.

Win Probability: Atletico Rafaela or Tristan Suarez?

After analyzing the odds, form, head-to-head record, and league positions, the win probability for this match is: Atletico Rafaela 32%, draw 38%, Tristan Suarez 30%. The odds heavily favor a draw, and the recent head-to-head results (two 0-0 draws) support that. Atletico Rafaela’s home strength and unbeaten run give them a slight edge over Tristan Suarez’s perfect away form, but the visitors’ five-game winning streak cannot be ignored. The most likely outcome is a draw, but if there is a winner, Atletico Rafaela has a marginally better chance.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers’ odds for the 1X2 market show a tight match. One bookmaker offers home win at 2.62, draw at 2.60, and away win at 3.30. These numbers reflect how close the contest is expected to be. Based on the stats, a draw is the safest pick, but Atletico Rafaela’s home form makes them the team more likely to win. Our Atletico Rafaela vs Tristan Suarez prediction: a low-scoring draw or a narrow home win are the most probable outcomes.