FK Babrungas Plunge - Atmosfera Mazeikiai prediction 11/09/2026

Our FK Babrungas Plunge vs Atmosfera Mazeikiai prediction for the 1 Lyga match on Sep 11, 2026, points to a home win. FK Babrungas Plunge has a 56% chance of winning, the draw is at 25%, and Atmosfera Mazeikiai has a 19% chance. The match kicks off at 15:00, and the bookmakers also see the home side as the clear favorite.

Team Form

FK Babrungas Plunge comes into this match with a mixed recent run of L, W, D, W, L in their last five matches. They lost 2-1 away to BFA Vilnius on Sep 04, but before that they beat Garliava 1-0 away and drew 1-1 at home with FK Tauras Taurage. A 4-0 away win at Neptunas Klaipeda shows what they can do on their day.

Atmosfera Mazeikiai's last five results are W, L, D, L, D. They won 3-1 at home against FK Tauras Taurage on Sep 05, but lost 3-1 away to Neptunas Klaipeda and 2-0 away to FK Transinvest B. Their form on the road is a concern, with two losses and a draw in the last three away trips.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record strongly favors FK Babrungas Plunge. In six previous meetings, FK Babrungas Plunge has 3 wins, 3 draws, and Atmosfera Mazeikiai has 0 wins. The most recent match on May 09, 2026, ended in a 1-1 draw at Atmosfera Mazeikiai. Before that, FK Babrungas Plunge won 3-0 at home on Sep 19, 2025. The last time Atmosfera Mazeikiai hosted this fixture, it was also a 1-1 draw. You have to go back to Mar 18, 2022, for an away win by FK Babrungas Plunge at this ground, a 1-0 result.

League Table Positions

FK Babrungas Plunge sits 2nd in the 1 Lyga table with 55 points from 23 matches, having won 17, drawn 4, and lost only 2. They have scored 39 goals and conceded just 9. At home, they are even stronger - 2nd in the home table with 9 wins and 2 draws from 11 games, scoring 20 and conceding only 2.

Atmosfera Mazeikiai is 9th with 29 points from 22 matches. Their away record places them 8th in the away standings, with 4 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, scoring 18 and conceding 14. The 26-point gap between the teams highlights the gulf in class this season.

Win Probability: FK Babrungas Plunge or Atmosfera Mazeikiai?

Based on the odds, form, head-to-head record, and league positions, we calculate the win probability as follows: FK Babrungas Plunge 56%, draw 25%, Atmosfera Mazeikiai 19%. The bookmaker odds of 1.65 for a home win imply a probability around 55% after removing the margin. FK Babrungas Plunge's dominant home record - unbeaten with 9 wins in 11 - and the H2H record of 3 wins and 0 losses for the away side make it hard to see past a home victory. Atmosfera Mazeikiai's poor away form and the fact they have never beaten FK Babrungas Plunge further support the favorite. The draw gets a 25% chance because three of the last five H2H meetings have ended level.

Odds & Match Prediction

The 1X2 odds for this match are: FK Babrungas Plunge win at 1.65, draw at 3.45, and Atmosfera Mazeikiai win at 4.30. Bookmakers see FK Babrungas Plunge as the favorite, and the stats back that up. Our FK Babrungas Plunge vs Atmosfera Mazeikiai prediction is a home win. The home side's defensive solidity - only 2 goals conceded at home all season - combined with their strong H2H record makes the 1.65 odds a fair reflection of their chances. For betting tips, the home win is the safest pick, while the under 2.5 goals market could also be worth a look given FK Babrungas Plunge's tight defense.