SV Elversberg - Augsburg prediction 17/10/2026

Our SV Elversberg vs Augsburg prediction for the Bundesliga match on Oct 17, 2026, gives the home side a slight edge. SV Elversberg has a 35% chance to win, the draw sits at 31%, and Augsburg has a 34% chance. The game at Waldstadion an der Kaiserlinde starts at 10:30 local time.

Team Form

SV Elversberg come into this match with two wins in their last five Bundesliga games. Their most recent results are a 1-0 loss at Union Berlin, a 0-0 draw at Schalke 04, a 1-2 home loss to Bayern Munich, a 4-3 win at Borussia Monchengladbach, and a 3-2 home win over Bayer Leverkusen. That form shows they can score at home but also concede against stronger sides.

Augsburg are unbeaten in four of their last five matches. They drew 2-2 at home with Bayern Munich, drew 2-2 in a friendly with Hertha Berlin, lost 3-2 at Werder Bremen, drew 2-2 at home with Bayer Leverkusen, and won 4-1 at Eintracht Frankfurt. Augsburg have scored 13 goals in 5 Bundesliga matches, which is a clear offensive strength.

Head-to-Head Record

There are no previous meetings between SV Elversberg and Augsburg in the available head-to-head data. The head-to-head record shows 0 home wins, 0 draws, and 0 away wins, so this prediction cannot use past meetings between these two clubs. Recent league form and table position become the main factors.

League Table Positions

In the Bundesliga table, Augsburg sit 6th with 8 points from 5 matches, with a 13-8 goal record. SV Elversberg are 9th with 7 points from 5 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 8. Augsburg have the stronger attack and a slightly better overall record. SV Elversberg play at home, where they have one win and one loss in two home league matches this season, while Augsburg have one win and one loss in two away matches.

Win Probability: SV Elversberg or Augsburg?

Based on the 1X2 odds, team form, head-to-head and league positions, our win probability calculation is: SV Elversberg win 35%, draw 31%, Augsburg win 34%. The bookmakers see this as a very close match, with SV Elversberg as the narrow favorite because of home advantage. Augsburg are slightly higher in the table and score more goals, which keeps their away win chance almost level with the home side. The conclusion is that SV Elversberg are the most likely single winner, but the draw and an away win are almost equally possible. If you ask who will win, SV Elversberg is a very narrow pick, but this is a high-risk match for a straight win bet.

Odds & Match Prediction

The 1X2 betting odds for SV Elversberg vs Augsburg range from 2.25 to 2.70 for a home win, 2.42 to 3.90 for a draw, and 2.38 to 2.80 for an away win. Based on these odds and the stats, the safest betting tip is a double chance on SV Elversberg or draw. If you want a single outcome, SV Elversberg to win is the best pick with a 35% probability, but a draw at 31% is a very realistic result. The match prediction from our model is a close home win or a draw, so avoid backing Augsburg as a heavy favorite.