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Cuiaba MT - Avai SC prediction 11/10/2026

Brazil · Serie B·

Match info

Competição
Serie B · Brazil
Início

Forma recente

últimos 5 jogos
Cuiaba MT

Londrina PRCuiaba MT10DSerie B

Cuiaba MTAvai SC01DSerie B

Vila Nova GOCuiaba MT00ESerie B

Cuiaba MTPonte Preta SP20VSerie B

CRB ALCuiaba MT30DSerie B
Avai SC

Avai SCAthletic Club MG00ESerie B

Cuiaba MTAvai SC01VSerie B

Avai SCLondrina PR21VSerie B

Avai SCCeara CE01DSerie B

Criciuma SCAvai SC30DSerie B

Confronto direto

9 confrontos
Cuiaba MT 5Empates 13 Avai SC

Cuiaba MTAvai SC01Serie B

Avai SCCuiaba MT10Serie B

Avai SCCuiaba MT20Serie B

Cuiaba MTAvai SC22Serie B

Cuiaba MTAvai SC10Serie A

Cuiaba MTAvai SC10Serie A

Avai SCCuiaba MT12Serie A

Cuiaba MTAvai SC21Serie A

Avai SCCuiaba MT02Serie B

Serie B 2026 · classificação

#TimeJVEDGPts
1Vila Nova GO34188848:3362
2Gremio Novorizontino SP341710761:3061
3Juventude RS341710741:2361
4Fortaleza CE341612641:2960
5Criciuma SC34178935:2859
6Atletico Goianiense GO341412842:3254
7CRB341571251:4852
8Sport Recife PE341312945:3751
9Goias GO341471334:4049
10Operario PR341391244:4648
11Cuiaba MT341114932:2747
12Sao Bernardo SP3412101246:3746
13Botafogo SP341281438:3844
14Athletic Club3410141040:3944
15Nautico PE3411101339:4243
16Ceara CE3411101337:4243
17Avai341071733:4337
18Londrina PR34881843:4932
19America Mineiro MG34552422:5420
20Ponte Preta SP34352619:7414

The Cuiaba MT vs Avai SC prediction for October 11, 2026, points to a home win at Arena Pantanal. Cuiaba MT enters this Serie B match as the clear favorite, with a 55% win probability based on odds, recent form, and head-to-head record. Avai SC has a 20% chance, while a draw sits at 25%.

Team Form

Cuiaba MT comes into this game with two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five matches. They beat Ponte Preta SP 2-0 and Nautico PE 3-0 at home, drew 0-0 away at Vila Nova GO, and drew 1-1 at Gremio Novorizontino SP. The only recent setback was a 3-0 loss at CRB AL. At home, Cuiaba MT has been solid, scoring multiple goals in two of those three home games.

Avai SC has struggled lately, with one win, one draw, and three losses in their last five. They beat Londrina PR 2-1 at home but lost to Ceara CE 0-1, Criciuma SC 3-0, and Goias GO 2-1, with a 1-1 draw against Vila Nova GO. Away from home, Avai SC has lost three of their last four, conceding eight goals in those defeats.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record heavily favors Cuiaba MT. In eight previous meetings, Cuiaba MT has five wins, Avai SC has two, and there has been one draw. The last match, in June 2026, ended 1-0 for Avai SC, but before that Cuiaba MT won 1-0 twice in 2022 and drew 2-2 in April 2025. At Arena Pantanal, Cuiaba MT has never lost to Avai SC in Serie B, with two wins and one draw.

League Table Positions

Cuiaba MT sits 10th in the Serie B overall standings with 47 points from 32 matches (11 wins, 14 draws, 7 losses). They have scored 32 goals and conceded only 25, one of the best defensive records in the league. Avai SC is outside the top 12, struggling in the lower half of the table. The home and away splits further highlight the gap: Cuiaba MT is strong at home, while Avai SC has a poor away record.

Win Probability: Cuiaba MT or Avai SC?

Based on all available data, Cuiaba MT has a 55% chance to win this match. The draw probability is 25%, and Avai SC has a 20% chance. These numbers come from the average bookmaker odds (home win around 1.63, draw 2.12, away win 5.19), adjusted for Cuiaba MT's better form, home advantage, and dominant head-to-head record. Avai SC's recent away struggles and lower league position reduce their chances significantly. The most likely outcome is a Cuiaba MT victory.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see Cuiaba MT as the favorite, with average odds of 1.63 for a home win. The draw is priced around 2.12, and an Avai SC away win is at 5.19. These odds imply a home win probability near 48% before adjustments, but the team's form and H2H edge push it to 55%. Our Cuiaba MT vs Avai SC prediction is a home win, with a possible correct score of 2-0 or 1-0, given Cuiaba MT's solid defense and Avai SC's scoring difficulties on the road.

Cuiaba MT vs Avai SC – FAQ

Quem vai ganhar Cuiaba MT vs Avai SC?
Cuiaba MT tem 55% de chance de vencer, contra 20% do Avai SC e 25% de empate. O time da casa é favorito por jogar na Arena Pantanal, ter melhor forma recente e um histórico de confrontos muito positivo.
Qual é a probabilidade de vitória do Cuiaba MT?
A probabilidade de vitória do Cuiaba MT é de 55%. Esse número considera as odds médias de 1.63 para o mandante, a campanha sólida em casa e os cinco triunfos nos últimos oito duelos diretos.
Quando é a partida Cuiaba MT vs Avai SC?
A partida acontece em 11 de outubro de 2026, às 18:30 (horário de Brasília), na Arena Pantanal, em Cuiabá, Mato Grosso. O jogo é válido pela Serie B do Brasil.
Quais são as odds para Cuiaba MT vs Avai SC?
As odds médias são: vitória do Cuiaba MT em 1.63, empate em 2.12 e vitória do Avai SC em 5.19. Esses valores refletem o favoritismo claro do time da casa.
Qual é o histórico de confrontos entre Cuiaba MT e Avai SC?
Em oito jogos, o Cuiaba MT venceu cinco, o Avai SC venceu dois e houve um empate. Jogando em casa, o Cuiaba MT nunca perdeu para o Avai SC na Serie B, com duas vitórias e um empate.