Pharco - Baladiyyat Al Mehalla prediction 10/09/2026

Pharco vs Baladiyyat Al Mehalla prediction for the Egypt Second Division match on Sep 10 at 13:30. Based on the stats, Pharco is the favorite with a 52% win probability.

Team Form

Pharco comes into this match in solid shape. Their last five results are D, W, W, W, L. They drew 0-0 away at El Daklyeh on Sep 04, beat El Mansura 2-0 at home on Aug 28, and won 1-0 away at Proxy Work Club on Aug 21. Earlier, they beat Ismaily SC 2-1 away and lost 0-1 at home to National Bank of Egypt. They have kept three clean sheets in their last five games.

Baladiyyat Al Mehalla's recent form is W, D, L, L, L. They beat Belqas City 1-0 at home on Sep 04, drew 0-0 at home with El Daklyeh on Aug 28, and lost 2-1 away at El Mansura on Aug 20. Before that, they lost 1-0 away at Asyut Petroleum and 0-1 at home to Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat. They have struggled for goals, scoring only twice in their last five matches.

Head-to-Head Record

The H2H record between these teams shows 5 wins for Pharco, 5 draws, and 2 wins for Baladiyyat Al Mehalla. The most recent meeting was on Nov 04, 2023, when Baladiyyat Al Mehalla won 3-2 at home in the Premier League. Before that, Pharco won 2-1 at home in the Second Division on Mar 25, 2021. The last five matches have seen mixed results, with Pharco winning two, Baladiyyat Al Mehalla winning two, and one draw.

League Table Positions

In the overall Second Division standings, Pharco sits 3rd with 7 points from 3 games (2 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses). They have scored 3 goals and conceded 0. Baladiyyat Al Mehalla is 9th with 4 points from 3 games (1 win, 1 draw, 1 loss), scoring 2 and conceding 2. Pharco's away record is strong - 2nd in the away table with 4 points from 2 games. Baladiyyat Al Mehalla's home form places them 3rd in the home table with 4 points from 2 games, scoring 1 and conceding 0.

Win Probability: Pharco or Baladiyyat Al Mehalla?

Based on the odds, form, H2H, and league positions, we calculate the win probability as follows: Pharco has a 52% chance of winning, the draw is at 30%, and Baladiyyat Al Mehalla has an 18% chance. The odds imply a home win probability around 50-55% after removing the bookmaker margin. Pharco's better overall form, higher league position, and strong defensive record (0 goals conceded in 3 league games) support their favorite status. Baladiyyat Al Mehalla's home advantage and their recent 1-0 home win give them some hope, but their poor attacking form makes an away win unlikely. The draw probability is significant because both teams have drawn one of their last three matches.

Odds & Match Prediction

The available 1X2 odds show Pharco as the clear favorite. The best home win odds are around 1.85, the draw is priced at 1.91, and an away win for Baladiyyat Al Mehalla is at 5.00 or higher. Bookmakers see Pharco as the team most likely to win. Our Pharco vs Baladiyyat Al Mehalla prediction is a home win, but the draw odds are short, suggesting a tight match. Based on the stats, a low-scoring game is expected - under 2.5 goals looks likely given both teams' recent defensive records.