Portugal U23 Women - Belgium U23 Women prediction 12/10/2026

This Portugal U23 Women vs Belgium U23 Women prediction looks ahead to the Friendly International Women match on Oct 12, 2026, at 07:30. Based on recent form and head-to-head stats, Portugal U23 Women enters as the favorite with a 52% win probability. Belgium U23 Women has a 24% chance, and the draw sits at 24%.

Team Form

Portugal U23 Women come into this match with a mixed run of results. Their last five matches show two wins and three losses (L, W, W, L, W). The most recent outing was a 3-0 defeat away to Norway U23 Women on Oct 8. Before that, they beat Belgium U23 Women 1-0, Czech Republic U23 Women 1-0, lost 3-1 to Italy U23 Women, and beat Germany U23 Women 3-1. At home, they have been strong, winning two of their last three.

Belgium U23 Women are struggling for form. Their last five results read L, L, L, L, W. They lost 2-1 at home to Italy U23 Women on Oct 8, and before that fell 1-0 to Portugal U23 Women, 2-1 to Germany U23 Women, 4-2 to Germany U23 Women again, and beat Scotland U23 Women 2-0. Four defeats in five games is a worrying trend for the away side.

Head-to-Head Record

These teams have met only once before, and it was a tight affair. On Apr 16, 2026, Portugal U23 Women won 1-0 away against Belgium U23 Women in the same competition. That gives Portugal U23 Women a 100% head-to-head record with one win from one match, no draws, and no wins for Belgium U23 Women.

League Table Positions

This is a Friendly International Women match, so there is no official league table. Both teams use these fixtures to test tactics and give experience to players. The focus is purely on recent form and the head-to-head record to guide this Portugal U23 Women vs Belgium U23 Women prediction.

Win Probability: Portugal U23 Women or Belgium U23 Women?

Who will win this match? We calculate the win probability based on the available odds, team form, and the head-to-head record. The bookmaker odds show a tight contest. Taking the inverse of the best available odds and normalizing to remove the margin gives a baseline. Adjusting for Portugal U23 Women's superior recent form (two wins in five vs one win in five for Belgium U23 Women) and their 1-0 head-to-head win earlier this year, the chances shift in their favor.

The final probabilities are: Portugal U23 Women has a 52% chance of winning, the draw is at 24%, and Belgium U23 Women has a 24% chance. The home advantage for Portugal U23 Women and Belgium U23 Women's poor run of four losses in five games are the key factors. Portugal U23 Women is the more likely winner, but the match could be close.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers are offering varied odds for this Friendly International Women match. One bookmaker has a home win for Portugal U23 Women at 2.45, the draw at 2.40, and an away win for Belgium U23 Women at 3.30. Another lists Portugal U23 Women at 1.70, the draw at 3.80, and Belgium U23 Women at 3.80. The odds suggest the market sees Portugal U23 Women as the favorite, which aligns with our betting tips and win probability analysis.

Our Portugal U23 Women vs Belgium U23 Women prediction is a home win. Based on the stats, Portugal U23 Women's stronger form and the head-to-head edge give them the best chance. The 1.70 odds for a home win offer value when you consider the 52% implied probability. A 1-0 or 2-1 scoreline looks likely.