Besat Kermanshah - Palayesh Naft Bandar Abbas prediction 05/10/2026

The Besat Kermanshah vs Palayesh Naft Bandar Abbas prediction for October 5, 2026, points to an away win. The match is part of the Azadegan League in Iran, and based on recent form, head-to-head record, and league standings, Palayesh Naft Bandar Abbas enters as the favorite with a 45% win probability. Besat Kermanshah has a 20% chance, while the draw sits at 35%.

Team Form

Besat Kermanshah comes into this match with a poor run of results. In their last five games, they have one win, one draw, and three losses. The most recent outing was a 1-0 away defeat to Mes Rafsanjan on September 29. Before that, they beat Havadar SC 3-0 away, drew 0-0 at home against Naft Gachsaran, and lost 2-0 at home to Fard Alborz FC and 2-0 away to Ario. The team has struggled to score consistently, managing only three goals in those five matches.

Palayesh Naft Bandar Abbas, on the other hand, is in much better shape. Their last five matches show three wins, one draw, and one loss. They won 1-0 away at Naft Masjed Soleyman on September 22, drew 0-0 away at Mes Kerman, beat Navad Urmia FC 2-0 away, lost 1-0 away to Ario, and won 1-0 at home against Shahrdari Noshahr. With only two goals conceded in those five games, their defense looks solid.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between these two teams is limited but favors Palayesh Naft Bandar Abbas. In two previous meetings, Palayesh Naft Bandar Abbas has one win and there has been one draw. The most recent clash was on December 20, 2025, when Besat Kermanshah hosted and the match ended 1-1. The other encounter, on October 29, 2024, saw Palayesh Naft Bandar Abbas win 2-1 at home. So, Besat Kermanshah has yet to beat this opponent.

League Table Positions

In the Azadegan League standings, Palayesh Naft Bandar Abbas sits in 7th place with 5 points from 3 matches (1 win, 2 draws, 0 losses), scoring 2 goals and conceding just 1. Besat Kermanshah is 10th with 4 points from 3 games (1 win, 1 draw, 1 loss), with 3 goals scored and 1 conceded. The away team is undefeated so far, while Besat Kermanshah has been inconsistent, especially at home where they have only 1 point from two matches.

Win Probability: Besat Kermanshah or Palayesh Naft Bandar Abbas?

Based on the available odds, recent form, head-to-head stats, and league positions, we calculate the win probability as follows: Besat Kermanshah 20%, draw 35%, Palayesh Naft Bandar Abbas 45%. The bookmakers' odds implied a much higher chance for the draw (around 47%), but the away team's strong form and Besat's poor home record shift the balance. Palayesh Naft Bandar Abbas is the more likely winner, but a draw cannot be ruled out.

Odds & Match Prediction

The odds for this Azadegan League match show a tight contest. One bookmaker offers 3.50 for a Besat Kermanshah win, 1.95 for the draw, and 3.40 for a Palayesh Naft Bandar Abbas victory. Another lists 3.50, 1.90, and 3.25 respectively. The low draw odds reflect how close this game is expected to be. However, taking into account the visitors' defensive solidity and Besat's attacking struggles, our Besat Kermanshah vs Palayesh Naft Bandar Abbas prediction is an away win. Palayesh Naft Bandar Abbas has the form and the head-to-head edge to secure all three points.