Karlovac - Bijelo Brdo prediction 09/10/2026

Karlovac vs Bijelo Brdo prediction for the Prva HNL match on Oct 9 at 13:00. Karlovac is the favorite with a 50% win probability, while Bijelo Brdo has a 27% chance and the draw is at 23%.

Team Form

Karlovac comes into this match with mixed recent results: D, L, W, L, W in their last five. They beat Hrvace 3-1 on Sep 6 and Bjelovar 2-0 on Sep 15, but lost to Mladost Zdralovi 1-0 on Sep 12 and Dubrava Zagreb 1-0 on Sep 20. Their most recent match was a 1-1 draw away at Segesta on Sep 27.

Bijelo Brdo has been more consistent with D, W, L, W, W in their last five. They won away at Opatija 3-2 on Sep 11, beat Kustosija 2-1 in the Cup on Sep 16, and won 1-0 at Dubrava Zagreb on Sep 26. Their only recent league loss was 2-1 at home to Hrvace on Sep 19. They drew 1-1 with Osijek in a friendly on Oct 3.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record strongly favors Karlovac. In three previous meetings, Karlovac has won all three and Bijelo Brdo has zero wins, with no draws. Karlovac won 1-0 at home on Apr 10, 1-0 at home on Feb 13, and 2-0 away on Sep 21. Bijelo Brdo has not scored a single goal against Karlovac in these three matches.

League Table Positions

Bijelo Brdo sits 4th in the Prva HNL table with 13 points from 7 matches, with 4 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses. Karlovac is 11th with 8 points from 7 matches, with 2 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses. Away from home, Bijelo Brdo is 2nd with 6 points from 3 away games. Karlovac does not appear in the top 8 home table, which suggests home form has been a problem.

Win Probability: Karlovac or Bijelo Brdo?

Based on the odds, head-to-head record, team form and league positions, Karlovac has a 50% chance of winning, the draw is at 23%, and Bijelo Brdo has a 27% chance. The bookmakers see Karlovac as the favorite with home odds around 2.40. The H2H record is a big factor here: Karlovac has beaten Bijelo Brdo in all three meetings without conceding a goal. However, Bijelo Brdo is higher in the table and has better recent away form, which keeps their chances at 27%.

Odds & Match Prediction

The 1X2 odds from bookmakers show Karlovac at 2.40, the draw at 3.10, and Bijelo Brdo at 3.10 in one market. Another bookmaker has Karlovac at 2.40, the draw at 1.95, and Bijelo Brdo at 3.40. A third set shows Karlovac at 2.38, the draw at 3.00, and Bijelo Brdo at 2.65. Based on the stats, the Karlovac vs Bijelo Brdo prediction is a home win, but the value may be limited because Bijelo Brdo has been strong away from home. The H2H record and home advantage point to Karlovac, but Bijelo Brdo's league position makes this closer than the H2H suggests.