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Sao Paulo SP - Boca Juniors prediction 15/09/2026

Match info

Competição
Copa Sudamericana · South America
Início

Forma recente

últimos 5 jogos
Sao Paulo SP

Sao Paulo SPVasco da Gama RJ10VSerie A

Sao Paulo SPVitoria BA21VSerie A

Cruzeiro MGSao Paulo SP20DSerie A

Sao Paulo SPSantos SP12DSerie A

Sao Paulo SPInternacional RS10VSerie A
Boca Juniors

Vasco da Gama RJBoca Juniors13VCopa Sudamericana

Boca JuniorsTalleres de Cordoba21VPrimera Division

Boca JuniorsVasco da Gama RJ01DCopa Sudamericana

Instituto AC CordobaBoca Juniors22EPrimera Division

Boca JuniorsUnion de Santa Fe30VPrimera Division

Confronto direto

2 confrontos
Sao Paulo SP 0Empates 11 Boca Juniors

Sao Paulo SPBoca Juniors11Copa Sudamericana

Boca JuniorsSao Paulo SP10Copa Sudamericana

Copa Sudamericana 2026 · classificação

#TimeJVEDGPts
1Botafogo RJ651015:516
2River Plate64209:314
3Montevideo City Torque641111:513
4Olimpia641110:613
5Sao Paulo SP63306:112
6Gremio RS63218:311
7Atletico Mineiro MG63128:610
8Macara62406:310
9Red Bull Bragantino SP631212:510
10Vasco DA Gama631210:610
11O'Higgins63128:610
12Tigre62318:59
13Caracas FC62319:99
14Carabobo FC63036:59
15America de Cali62316:59
16Deportivo Recoleta61506:58
17Cienciano62225:78
18Club Deportivo Los Millonarios62227:78
19Racing Club622211:98
20Santos61418:67
21Juventud de Las Piedras614110:77
22San Lorenzo de Almagro61416:57
23Audax Italiano62137:97
24Academia Puerto Cabello62136:97
25Deportivo Cuenca61323:76
26Deportivo Riestra61234:105
27Palestino60331:63
28Barracas Central60332:83
29Boston River61055:123
30Alianza Atletico60242:92
31Blooming60153:171
32Independiente60063:150

The Sao Paulo SP vs Boca Juniors prediction for September 16, 2026, points to a tight Copa Sudamericana clash. Based on the latest odds and team form, Sao Paulo SP enters as the slight favorite with a 48% win probability, while Boca Juniors holds a 27% chance and the draw sits at 25%. The match kicks off at 00:30 local time.

Team Form

Sao Paulo SP's recent form shows three wins and two losses in their last five outings. They bounced back from a 1-0 away loss to Boca Juniors on Sep 09 with a solid 2-0 home win over Atletico Mineiro MG in Serie A. Before that, they beat Red Bull Bragantino SP 2-1 and Club Bolivar 3-1 at home, showing strong attacking play in front of their fans. The only other blip was a 1-0 defeat at Chapecoense SC.

Boca Juniors come into this match with two wins and three draws from their last five. After beating Sao Paulo SP 1-0 at home, they played back-to-back 2-2 and 0-0 draws against Atletico Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza and Velez Sarsfield. Their form on the road includes a 1-0 win over Lanus and a 1-1 draw at Racing Club Avellaneda, making them a tough side to beat away from home.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between these teams is limited to one recent meeting. In that match, played on Sep 09, 2026, in the Copa Sudamericana, Boca Juniors secured a 1-0 home victory over Sao Paulo SP. That result gives Boca Juniors a psychological edge and a 1-0 lead in the H2H count, with no draws or Sao Paulo SP wins recorded so far.

League Table Positions

In the overall Copa Sudamericana standings, Sao Paulo SP sits in 5th place with 12 points from 6 matches, having scored 6 goals and conceded just 1. Their home form is particularly strong, ranked 5th with 7 points from 3 games and a 5-1 goal difference. Boca Juniors are not listed in the provided standings data, but Sao Paulo SP's defensive record - only 1 goal conceded in 6 overall matches - stands out as a key factor in this Sao Paulo SP vs Boca Juniors prediction.

Win Probability: Sao Paulo SP or Boca Juniors?

After analyzing the available data, the win probability for this match is: Sao Paulo SP 48%, Draw 25%, Boca Juniors 27%. The calculation is based on the average bookmaker odds (home win around 2.20, draw around 2.38, away win around 3.65), which were normalized to remove the margin. Sao Paulo SP's strong home form and excellent defensive record in the competition boost their chances. Boca Juniors' recent H2H win and solid away form keep them in contention, but the probability suggests the home side has the edge. The question of who will win leans toward Sao Paulo SP, but a draw is a very realistic outcome.

Odds & Match Prediction

The latest odds from bookmakers show Sao Paulo SP as the favorite. The 1X2 market lists home win odds between 2.12 and 2.32, the draw between 1.88 and 3.05, and an away win for Boca Juniors between 3.40 and 4.15. These betting tips reflect the market's view that Sao Paulo SP is more likely to win, but the odds on the draw and away win indicate this is not a one-sided affair. Based on the stats, a low-scoring match is probable, and the final prediction is a narrow home win or a draw.

Sao Paulo SP vs Boca Juniors – FAQ

Who will win Sao Paulo SP vs Boca Juniors?
Based on our win probability analysis, Sao Paulo SP has a 48% chance to win, a draw has a 25% chance, and Boca Juniors has a 27% chance. Sao Paulo SP is the favorite, but the match is expected to be close.
What is the win probability for Sao Paulo SP?
Sao Paulo SP has a 48% win probability. This is based on their strong home form in the Copa Sudamericana, where they have conceded only 1 goal in 3 home matches, and the average bookmaker odds.
When is the Sao Paulo SP vs Boca Juniors match?
The match is on September 16, 2026, at 00:30 local time. It is a Copa Sudamericana fixture being played in South America.
What are the odds for Sao Paulo SP vs Boca Juniors?
The 1X2 odds range from 2.12 to 2.32 for a Sao Paulo SP win, 1.88 to 3.05 for the draw, and 3.40 to 4.15 for a Boca Juniors win. These odds show Sao Paulo SP as the favorite.