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Deportes Tolima - Boyaca Chico prediction 03/10/2026

Match info

Competição
Primera A · Colombia
Início
Estádio
Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro, Ibagué
Capacidade
38.000
Gramado
grass
Árbitro
Andres Rojas

Forma recente

últimos 5 jogos
Deportes Tolima

Rionegro AguilasDeportes Tolima21DPrimera A

Jaguares de CordobaDeportes Tolima32DPrimera A

Atletico Nacional MedellinDeportes Tolima00EPrimera A

Deportes TolimaBoyaca Chico00EPrimera A

Fortaleza ZipaquiraDeportes Tolima22EPrimera A
Boyaca Chico

Boyaca ChicoAtletico Bucaramanga10VPrimera A

Deportivo PereiraBoyaca Chico20DPrimera A

Boyaca ChicoAtletico Nacional Medellin14DPrimera A

Boyaca ChicoCucuta Deportivo01DPrimera A

Deportes TolimaBoyaca Chico00EPrimera A

Escalações

confirmada
Deportes Tolima · Formação 4-2-3-1 · jogadores por posição
10Sánchez
80Rovira
1Volpi
8Valencia
32Guzmán
7Cabezas
3Angulo
30Gomez
33Mosquera
24Parra
2Angulo

Deportes Tolima

Titulares
  • 10L. SánchezColombiaM
  • 80B. RoviraColombiaM
  • 1Neto VolpiBrazilG
  • 8E. ValenciaColombiaM
  • 32S. GuzmánColombiaM
  • 7J. CabezasColombiaM
  • 3J. AnguloColombiaD
  • 30S. P. Barbosa GomezD
  • 33J. MosqueraColombiaD
  • 24A. ParraColombiaF
  • 2A. AnguloColombiaD
Reservas
  • 11J. ValenciaColombiaF
  • 4D. PedrozoColombiaD
  • 13M. OrtegaMexicoG
  • 18K. FlórezColombiaF
  • 16V. ReyesColombiaM
  • 19Joven SantiagoColombiaF

Boyaca Chico

Titulares
  • 6J. DíazColombiaM
  • 1D. AgudeloColombiaG
  • 14C. BlancoColombiaD
  • 8S. SalazarColombiaM
  • 21J. PimentelColombiaM
  • 17E. SarriaColombiaF
  • 42S. MeraColombiaF
  • 5J. AlomíaColombiaD
  • 24C. MosqueraColombiaD
  • 4J. MenaColombiaD
Reservas
  • 10Y. CabreraColombiaM
  • 11D. RamírezColombiaM
  • 2D. PolancoColombiaD
  • 7F. CifuentesColombiaF
  • 12B. ZapataG
  • J. Pimentel Betancourt

Confronto direto

14 confrontos
Deportes Tolima 6Empates 35 Boyaca Chico

Deportes TolimaBoyaca Chico00Primera A

Boyaca ChicoDeportes Tolima11Primera A

Deportes TolimaBoyaca Chico40Primera A

Boyaca ChicoDeportes Tolima14Primera A

Boyaca ChicoDeportes Tolima11Primera A

Deportes TolimaBoyaca Chico20Primera A

Boyaca ChicoDeportes Tolima20Primera A

Boyaca ChicoDeportes Tolima21Primera A

Boyaca ChicoDeportes Tolima21Primera A

Deportes TolimaBoyaca Chico20Primera A

Primera A 2026 · classificação

#TimeJVEDGPts
1Atletico Nacional Medellin19131535:1540
2CD Junior FC19112631:2435
3Deportivo Pasto19104529:2534
4America de Cali19103625:1533
5Once Caldas1989231:2233
6Deportes Tolima1987427:1731
7Santa Fe1978429:2229
8Inter Bogota FC1977526:2628
9Deportivo Cali1976620:1627
10Club Deportivo Los Millonarios1975731:2326
11EDP Independiente Medellin1975726:2426
12Rionegro Aguilas1975720:2526
13Atletico Bucaramanga1958626:2023
14Llaneros FC19410517:2022
15Fortaleza FC1957722:2722
16Jaguares19531120:3318
17Alianza Valledupar1938813:2717
18Boyaca Chico19521215:3217
19Cucuta1937922:3516
20Deportivo Pereira19171115:3210

Deportes Tolima vs Boyaca Chico prediction for the Primera A match on October 3, 2026, at 18:05. Deportes Tolima is the clear favorite with a 60% win probability, while Boyaca Chico has only a 15% chance. The game will be played at Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro in Ibagué.

Team Form

Deportes Tolima's recent form is mixed: two draws, two losses and one win in the last five matches (D,D,L,L,W). The team drew 2-2 against Fortaleza Zipaquira and 1-1 with America de Cali, then lost 1-0 to Once Caldas and 1-0 to Independiente Santa Fe, before beating Llaneros FC 2-1 away.

Boyaca Chico comes in with better momentum: three wins and two losses (W,L,L,W,W). They beat Deportivo Pasto 3-0 at home, lost 3-0 to Club Deportivo Los Millonarios away, fell 2-1 to Alianza Petrolera at home, then won 2-1 against EDP Independiente Medellin and 2-0 against Once Caldas, both at home.

Head-to-Head Record

In 13 previous meetings, Deportes Tolima has 6 wins, Boyaca Chico has 5, and 2 ended in draws. The last five matches show Deportes Tolima's dominance: a 1-1 draw in March 2026, a 4-0 home win in September 2025, a 4-1 away win in April 2025, a 1-1 draw in March 2024, and a 2-0 home win in September 2023. Deportes Tolima has not lost to Boyaca Chico in the last five encounters.

League Table Positions

Deportes Tolima sits 6th in the overall Primera A table with 31 points from 19 matches (8 wins, 7 draws, 4 losses, goals 27:17). At home, they are even stronger - 2nd place with 7 wins, 2 draws and only 1 loss in 10 games, scoring 19 and conceding just 7. Boyaca Chico is outside the top 12, which reflects a weaker campaign. The home advantage and table gap heavily favor Deportes Tolima.

Win Probability: Deportes Tolima or Boyaca Chico?

Based on the odds, form, head-to-head and league positions, the win probability is: Deportes Tolima 60%, draw 25%, Boyaca Chico 15%. Bookmakers' odds imply a similar distribution - home win around 1.33, draw 2.38, away win 8.00. Deportes Tolima's strong home record (7-2-1) and historical edge make them the likely winner, but Boyaca Chico's recent three wins in five games add a small upset chance.

Odds & Match Prediction

The best available odds show Deportes Tolima to win at 1.30-1.34, the draw at 2.28-2.45, and Boyaca Chico to win at 6.50-8.50. Bookmakers see Deportes Tolima as the clear favorite. Our Deportes Tolima vs Boyaca Chico prediction: a home win is the most probable outcome, but the draw is a realistic possibility given Tolima's recent inconsistency. A correct score bet on 2-0 or 2-1 for Deportes Tolima fits the stats.

Deportes Tolima vs Boyaca Chico – FAQ

Who will win Deportes Tolima vs Boyaca Chico?
Deportes Tolima has a 60% chance to win, the draw is at 25%, and Boyaca Chico has a 15% chance. The home team is the favorite based on league position, head-to-head record and home form.
What is the win probability for Deportes Tolima?
Deportes Tolima has a 60% probability of winning this match. This is calculated from the betting odds (around 1.33 for a home win), their 2nd place home record, and a strong H2H record of 6 wins in 13 meetings.
When is the Deportes Tolima vs Boyaca Chico match?
The match is on October 3, 2026, at 18:05 local time. It is a Primera A fixture and will be played at Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro in Ibagué, Colombia.
What are the odds for the match?
The average odds are: Deportes Tolima win at 1.33, draw at 2.38, Boyaca Chico win at 7.48. Different bookmakers offer slightly different prices, with the home win ranging from 1.29 to 1.34.
What is the head-to-head record between Deportes Tolima and Boyaca Chico?
In 13 matches, Deportes Tolima won 6, Boyaca Chico won 5, and 2 ended in draws. The last five meetings: Deportes Tolima won three (4-0, 4-1, 2-0) and two were draws (1-1, 1-1).