Boyaca Chico - Fortaleza Zipaquira prediction 26/08/2026

When is the Boyaca Chico vs Fortaleza Zipaquira match? The game is on Aug 26 at 21:00, at Estadio La Independencia in Tunja, for the Colombian Primera A. Our Boyaca Chico vs Fortaleza Zipaquira prediction points to a tight contest, with Fortaleza Zipaquira slightly ahead with a 35% win probability.

Team Form

Boyaca Chico comes into this match with a poor run of results. In their last five games, they lost three and drew two: defeats against Jaguares de Cordoba (1-0), Independiente Santa Fe (2-0), and a heavy 7-0 loss to America de Cali, plus 0-0 draws with Alianza Petrolera and Atletico Nacional Medellin. They have not won any of those matches, scoring only once while conceding ten.

Fortaleza Zipaquira's recent form is slightly better. Their last five matches show one win, two draws, and two losses. They beat Cucuta Deportivo 2-0, drew 0-0 with America de Cali and Deportivo Pereira, and lost to Atletico Nacional Medellin (2-1) and Llaneros FC (3-1). That gives them a bit more confidence heading into this fixture.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head between Boyaca Chico and Fortaleza Zipaquira is fairly balanced. In the last eight meetings, Fortaleza Zipaquira has three wins, Boyaca Chico two, and three draws. The most recent clash, on Feb 16, 2026, saw Fortaleza Zipaquira win 2-1 at home. Before that, they also won 1-0 in October 2025. Boyaca Chico's last victory over Fortaleza Zipaquira was a 2-0 away win in November 2019, back in the Primera B. The trend shows Fortaleza Zipaquira with a slight edge in recent encounters.

League Table Positions

Neither team appears in the top 12 of the overall Primera A standings, which suggests both are in the lower half of the table. Fortaleza Zipaquira has shown a bit more consistency on the road, but exact positions are not available. The gap in points is likely small, making this a direct battle for mid-table positioning.

Win Probability: Boyaca Chico or Fortaleza Zipaquira?

Based on the stats, odds, and form, we calculate the win probabilities as follows: Boyaca Chico has a 30% chance of winning, the draw is at 35%, and Fortaleza Zipaquira has a 35% chance. The draw is a strong possibility given the H2H record (three draws in eight games) and both teams' recent struggles to score consistently. Fortaleza Zipaquira gets the slight nod because of their better recent form and head-to-head advantage, but playing away at Tunja reduces that edge. Boyaca Chico's home factor is not enough to make them favorite, as they have only one point from their last two home matches.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see this as an open match. The average odds are around 2.70 for a Boyaca Chico win, 2.38 for the draw, and 3.04 for a Fortaleza Zipaquira victory. That implies a close contest with no clear favorite. Our Boyaca Chico vs Fortaleza Zipaquira prediction is a low-scoring draw or a narrow away win. The betting tips point to under 2.5 goals, as both teams have struggled in attack. Fortaleza Zipaquira's 35% win probability makes them the value pick, but the draw cannot be ruled out.