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Burgos CF - AD Ceuta prediction 11/09/2026

Spain · Segunda·

Match info

Competição
Segunda · Spain
Início

Forma recente

últimos 5 jogos
Burgos CF

Burgos CFSabadell10VSegunda

Burgos CFGranada CF01DSegunda

AlmeriaBurgos CF21DSegunda

Burgos CFEldense10VSegunda

Las PalmasBurgos CF12VSegunda
AD Ceuta

AD CeutaReal Oviedo12DSegunda

AD CeutaSabadell12DSegunda

CastellonAD Ceuta11ESegunda

Real BetisAD Ceuta00EFriendly Clubs

AD CeutaReal Sociedad B31VSegunda

Escalações

confirmada
Burgos CF · Formação 4-4-2 · jogadores por posição
8Grego
16Sánchez
3Vilarrasa
12Vencedor
7Karrikaburu
23Dadie
19Llabrés
14González
6González
13Cantero
20Gragera

Burgos CF

Titulares
  • 8GregoSpainD
  • 16Curro SánchezSpainF
  • 3Ignasi VilarrasaSpainD
  • 12Unai VencedorSpainM
  • 7Jon KarrikaburuSpainF
  • 23Alberto DadieSpainD
  • 19Javi LlabrésSpainM
  • 14David GonzálezSpainM
  • 6Sergio GonzálezSpainD
  • 13Ander CanteroSpainG
  • 20José GrageraSpainM
Reservas
  • 15Oier LuengoSpainD
  • 9Álex ForésSpainF
  • 22Brais MartínezSpainD
  • 5Marcelo ExpósitoSpainM
  • 18Saúl del CerroSpainM
  • 1Bruno IribarneSpainG
  • 17Mario CanteroSpainM
  • 24S. LencinasArgentinaM
  • 11Víctor MollejoSpainF
  • 36I. MartinezD
  • 4P. GaldamesChileM
  • 10K. AppinMartiniqueM

AD Ceuta

Titulares
  • 1Pedro LópezSpainG
  • 16RedruSpainD
  • 8KukiSpainM
  • 7Alejandro Camacho RamírezSpainF
  • 19E. SevikyanRussiaF
  • 6Mawuli MensahGhanaM
  • 29O. SadikMoroccoF
  • 3José MatosSpainD
  • 6Carlos HernándezSpainD
  • 14Y. BodigerFranceD
Reservas
  • 13Guille VallejoSpainG
  • 9Jordi EscobarSpainF
  • 2Toni AbadSpainD
  • 20Álex MeléndezSpainM
  • 15JoaquínSpainM
  • 27U. KonareF
  • 26Arick BetancourtM
  • 34D. MasM

Confronto direto

3 confrontos
Burgos CF 1Empates 11 AD Ceuta

Burgos CFAD Ceuta31Segunda

Burgos CFAD Ceuta11Segunda

AD CeutaBurgos CF10Segunda

Segunda 2026 · classificação

#TimeJVEDGPts
1Almeria1080220:724
2Castellon1072118:423
3Eibar1071220:1122
4Granada CF1162318:1420
5Sporting Gijon1061311:919
6Girona1053217:918
7Mallorca1053212:518
8Burgos CF1052313:1017
9Real Oviedo1052313:1017
10Sabadell1044210:816
11Eldense1042413:1314
12Tenerife1034312:1413
13Valladolid1133516:1612
14Celta Vigo B1033415:1612
15Cordoba1040615:2012
16Las Palmas1032513:1911
17Leganes103256:1511
18FC Andorra1031613:1710
19Real Sociedad B1022614:218
20Cadiz1014511:137
21AD Ceuta101279:225
22Albacete100196:221

The Burgos CF vs AD Ceuta prediction for September 11, 2026 points to a home win in this Segunda clash. The match kicks off at 18:30 at El Plantío, and based on the latest stats and odds, Burgos CF has a 58% chance of taking all three points. AD Ceuta comes into this game with a rough run of form, which makes the home side the clear favorite in this Burgos CF vs AD Ceuta betting tips preview.

Team Form

Burgos CF's recent form has been mixed but competitive. In their last five matches, they have one win, two draws, and two losses. Their most recent game was a 2-2 home draw against Real Sociedad B on Aug 31. Before that, they lost 1-0 away to Sporting Gijon and beat Cordoba CF 3-2 at home. At El Plantío, they are unbeaten in their last two competitive matches.

AD Ceuta is struggling badly. Their last five results show four losses and just one win. That single victory came in a friendly against Malaga. In the league, they have lost four straight: 0-2 at home to Celta Vigo B, 0-3 away to Mallorca, 0-2 at home to Las Palmas, and a heavy 1-5 defeat away to FC Andorra. They have conceded 12 goals in those four league games and scored only once.

Head-to-Head Record

These two teams have met twice before, both in the Segunda. AD Ceuta holds a slight edge with one win and one draw. The most recent head-to-head match was on Apr 01, 2026, when Burgos CF drew 1-1 at home against AD Ceuta. Earlier, on Nov 29, 2025, AD Ceuta won 1-0 at home. There is no dominant pattern yet, but Burgos CF will be eager to get their first win in this fixture.

League Table Positions

In the overall Segunda standings, Burgos CF sits 12th with 5 points from 4 matches (1 win, 2 draws, 1 loss). They have scored 5 goals and conceded 5. At home, they are 7th with 4 points from 2 games. AD Ceuta is not visible in the top 12 of the provided table, which suggests they are lower down the rankings, consistent with their poor form.

Win Probability: Burgos CF or AD Ceuta?

After analyzing the odds, team form, and home advantage, we calculate the win probability as follows: Burgos CF has a 58% chance to win, the draw is at 25%, and AD Ceuta has a 17% chance. The odds imply a home win probability around 55-57% after removing the bookmaker margin, and Burgos CF's much stronger recent form and home record push that number slightly higher. AD Ceuta's four-match losing streak in the league makes an away win unlikely. The most probable outcome is a Burgos CF victory.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see Burgos CF as the strong favorite. The best available odds for a home win are 1.67, the draw is priced at 2.30, and an AD Ceuta away win is as high as 4.75. These Burgos CF vs AD Ceuta odds confirm the gap between the sides. Our match prediction is a home win for Burgos CF, likely with a clean sheet given AD Ceuta's scoring troubles. A 2-0 correct score is a reasonable betting tip based on the stats.

Burgos CF vs AD Ceuta – FAQ

Who will win Burgos CF vs AD Ceuta?
Burgos CF is the favorite to win. Based on our analysis, Burgos CF has a 58% chance of winning, while AD Ceuta has a 17% chance, and the draw is at 25%.
What is the win probability for Burgos CF?
Burgos CF has a 58% probability to win this match. This is based on their stronger recent form, home advantage at El Plantío, and the bookmakers' odds which price them as clear favorites.
When is the Burgos CF vs AD Ceuta match?
The match is on September 11, 2026, kicking off at 18:30 local time. It is a Segunda fixture and will be played at El Plantío in Al Rayyan.
What are the odds for Burgos CF vs AD Ceuta?
The pre-match odds show Burgos CF to win at 1.67, the draw at 2.30, and an AD Ceuta win at 4.75. These odds reflect Burgos CF's status as the strong favorite.
What is the head-to-head record between Burgos CF and AD Ceuta?
They have played twice. AD Ceuta has one win and there has been one draw. The last meeting on Apr 01, 2026 ended in a 1-1 draw at El Plantío.