Muglaspor - Bursaspor prediction 15/10/2026

Our Muglaspor vs Bursaspor prediction for the 1st League match on Oct 15 at 14:00 is that Bursaspor is the favorite. Based on the latest stats, Bursaspor has a 55% win probability, the draw is at 25%, and Muglaspor has a 20% chance. This betting tip looks at team form, head-to-head record, and league table positions to answer who will win.

Team Form

Muglaspor comes into this match with a run of four draws and one win in their last five games. Their recent results show a 1-1 draw away at Fatih Karagumruk on Oct 11, a 2-2 home draw with Igdir Belediyespor on Sep 18, and a 1-1 draw at Sivasspor on Sep 13. They also drew 2-2 at home against Vanspor FK on Sep 6 and beat Umraniyespor 1-0 away on Sep 1. Muglaspor is hard to beat but struggles to turn draws into wins.

Bursaspor's form is stronger. They have three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five matches. They lost 2-1 at home to Mardinspor on Oct 11, but before that they won 2-1 away at Batman Petrolspor on Sep 19, drew 2-2 at home with Erokspor on Sep 13, won 2-1 away at Manisa BBSK on Sep 7, and thrashed Istanbulspor 4-0 at home on Sep 3. Bursaspor scores goals and wins matches, especially on the road.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between Muglaspor and Bursaspor is limited to one previous meeting. In the Cup on Sep 24, 2019, Bursaspor won 3-1 away at Muglaspor. Bursaspor has the only win in this fixture, with no draws or Muglaspor victories. This gives Bursaspor a psychological edge going into the match.

League Table Positions

In the overall 1st League standings, Bursaspor sits 2nd with 19 points from 9 matches (6 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses). Muglaspor is 12th with 12 points from 9 matches (2 wins, 6 draws, 1 loss). The gap is 7 points. Bursaspor's away form is excellent - they are 2nd in the away table with 12 points from 5 games (4 wins, 1 loss). Muglaspor's home form is not in the top 8 of the home standings, with only 2 wins and 3 draws from 5 home matches. The table clearly favors Bursaspor.

Win Probability: Muglaspor or Bursaspor?

We calculate the win probability based on odds, form, and league positions. The bookmaker odds imply a Bursaspor win chance around 45-50%, a draw around 40-44%, and a Muglaspor win around 18-22%. Adjusting for Bursaspor's stronger recent form (3 wins in 5 vs Muglaspor's 1 win in 5), their superior away record, and the head-to-head win, we shift the probabilities. Muglaspor has a 20% chance of winning, the draw is at 25%, and Bursaspor has a 55% chance. Bursaspor is the more likely winner.

Odds & Match Prediction

The 1X2 odds for Muglaspor vs Bursaspor show Bursaspor as the favorite. The best odds available are: Muglaspor win at 5.40, draw at 4.10, and Bursaspor win at 1.68. Other bookmakers offer Muglaspor around 4.40-4.82, the draw around 2.22-2.30, and Bursaspor around 1.95-2.15. Bookmakers see Bursaspor as the clear favorite. Our match prediction is a Bursaspor win, based on the stats and odds. The total goals could be over 2.5, given Bursaspor's scoring form and Muglaspor's tendency to draw high-scoring games.