Burton Albion - Mansfield Town prediction 19/09/2026

The Burton Albion vs Mansfield Town prediction for this League 1 clash on Sep 19, 2026 points to a home win, with Burton Albion having a 38% probability of victory. The match kicks off at 11:30, and bookmakers see it as a close contest between two mid-table sides. Our betting tips look at team form, head-to-head record, league positions, and the latest odds to answer who will win this matchup.

Team Form

Burton Albion come into this game with mixed results: two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five (W, L, W, D, L). They beat AFC Wimbledon 4-1 and Leicester City 2-1 away, but lost to Oxford United 3-0 and Notts County 2-1. At home, they managed a 2-2 draw against Cambridge United. Mansfield Town have been struggling recently, winning only once in their last five (W, L, L, L, D). They beat Luton Town 5-2 at home but suffered heavy defeats to Reading (5-0) and Bradford City (1-0), along with a goalless draw against Haddersfield Town. That poor run makes the away side look vulnerable.

Head-to-Head Record

The last six encounters between Burton Albion and Mansfield Town show complete balance: two wins apiece and two draws. The most recent match, on Apr 06, 2026, ended 0-0 at Mansfield. Earlier in the season, on Aug 02, 2025, Burton won 2-1 at home. In March 2025 they drew 1-1. Across all competitions, the goals are almost even, and no team has a clear psychological edge. This H2H record supports a tight contest once again.

League Table Positions

Burton Albion sit 11th in League 1 with 8 points after six games (two wins, two draws, two defeats, 10goals scored, 10 conceded). Mansfield Town are outside the top 12 in the overall standings, though their home form (3 matches, 7 points) is among the best in the division. Away from home, however, they have not collected enough points to climb the table. The league table suggests Burton are the more balanced side, especially playing at their own stadium.

Win Probability: Burton Albion or Mansfield Town?

We calculate a 38% win probability for Burton Albion, a 28% chance for the draw, and 34% for Mansfield Town. Our assessment starts from the bookmakers' implied probabilities (Burton ~37%, draw ~28%, Mansfield ~35% from odds of 2.67 / 3.50 /2.82) and adjusts for recent form and home advantage. Burton's slightly better recent results and the home crowd push their chance just above the opposition. Mansfield's poor away record and heavy defeats lower their probability. Still, the match is very open, and a draw is a realistic result.

Odds & Match Prediction

Early odds for this League 1 match show Burton Albion as marginal favorites at 2.67, with the draw at 3.50 and an Mansfield Town away win at 2.82. Other bookmakers offer similar lines, with home odds moving between 2.40 and 2.67. Based on the stats and the win probability analysis, our Burton Albion vs Mansfield Town prediction is a home win, but only a small stake is advised. The "both teams to score" market and under 2.5goals might also offer value given the teams' recent scoring patterns.