CA Colegiales - Deportivo Maipu prediction 29/08/2026

CA Colegiales vs Deportivo Maipu prediction for the Primera Nacional match on Aug 29, 2026. Based on our analysis, CA Colegiales has a 42% chance of winning, while Deportivo Maipu has a 26% chance, and a draw is at 32%. This betting tips guide covers team form, head-to-head record, league table positions, and the latest odds.

Team Form

CA Colegiales comes into this match with a mixed but improving run. Their last five results: a 0-0 draw away to Club Almagro, a 2-0 loss away to CA San Miguel, a 2-2 home draw with Patronato Parana, a 2-1 home win over Gimnasia Jujuy, and a 1-0 away win at Quilmes. That is two wins, two draws, and one loss in the last five, showing some momentum.

Deportivo Maipu has been more inconsistent. Their last five: a 1-0 home win against Quilmes, a 2-1 away win at Godoy Cruz, a 2-0 away loss to CA Ferrocarril Midland, a 4-2 home win over CA Atlanta, and a 1-0 away loss to Gimnasia y Tiro de Salta. Three wins and two losses, with both defeats coming on the road.

Head-to-Head Record

In the last three head-to-head meetings, Deportivo Maipu leads with two wins to CA Colegiales' one. There have been no draws. The most recent clash was on Apr 12, 2026, when Deportivo Maipu won 3-1 at home. Before that, on Sep 28, 2025, CA Colegiales won 2-1 away. The first encounter, on May 25, 2025, ended 1-0 to Deportivo Maipu at CA Colegiales' ground. The H2H record gives Deportivo Maipu a slight psychological edge.

League Table Positions

Deportivo Maipu sits 12th in the overall Primera Nacional table with 38 points from 26 matches (11 wins, 5 draws, 10 losses). CA Colegiales is outside the top 12, meaning they have fewer points. Neither side features in the top eight home or away standings, indicating both are mid-table performers. Deportivo Maipu's higher overall position suggests a small advantage, but CA Colegiales will rely on home support.

Win Probability: CA Colegiales or Deportivo Maipu?

After removing the bookmaker margin from the odds and adjusting for form and H2H, we calculate the following win probabilities: CA Colegiales 42%, draw 32%, Deportivo Maipu 26%. The odds (home 2.11, draw 2.92, away 3.94) originally pointed to a home favorite. However, Deportivo Maipu's better H2H record and higher league position narrow the gap. CA Colegiales' recent home results and the home advantage keep them as the slight favorite. A draw is a real possibility given the teams' inconsistency.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers offer odds around 2.11 for a CA Colegiales win, 2.92 for the draw, and 3.94 for a Deportivo Maipu victory. These numbers reflect the market's view that CA Colegiales is the more likely winner. Our CA Colegiales vs Deportivo Maipu prediction leans towards a home win, but the stats suggest a tight contest. Based on the form and head-to-head data, a low-scoring match with a possible 1-0 or 2-1 result for CA Colegiales is the most probable outcome.