Cadiz - Leganes prediction 03/10/2026

Cadiz vs Leganes prediction for the Segunda match on Oct 3, 2026 at 13:30. This page answers who will win between Cadiz and Leganes. Based on the odds, recent form, league table and head-to-head record, Leganes has a 35% chance to win, the draw is at 37%, and Cadiz has a 28% chance.

Team Form

Cadiz is in poor form. Their last five Segunda results are D, L, L, L, D. They drew 1-1 away to Tenerife on Sep 26, lost 1-2 at home to Girona on Sep 19, lost 0-1 at home to Las Palmas on Sep 12, lost 2-3 away to Almeria on Sep 6, and drew 1-1 at home to Valladolid on Aug 30. Cadiz has not won in five matches.

Across those five matches, Cadiz scored 5 goals and conceded 8. Leganes has better recent results. Their last five matches are L, W, L, D, W. They lost 0-2 at home to Castellon on Sep 28, beat Granada CF 3-2 at home on Sep 20, lost 0-2 away to Tenerife on Sep 13, drew 0-0 away to Las Palmas on Sep 4, and beat Eldense 1-0 at home on Aug 29. Leganes won two of those five games and scored 4 goals while conceding 6.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between Cadiz vs Leganes in recent Segunda matches shows Cadiz with 1 win, 1 draw, and Leganes with 0 wins. On May 24, 2026, Cadiz beat Leganes 3-0 at home. On Aug 22, 2025, the match ended 1-1 at Leganes. Cadiz has not lost to Leganes in these two meetings.

League Table Positions

Leganes sits 9th in the overall Segunda table with 11 points from 6 matches. Their record is 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 6 goals scored and 5 conceded. Cadiz is not listed in the top 12 of the provided overall standings. The table gives Leganes an edge before this game.

Cadiz vs Leganes Prediction: Who Will Win?

This is the core question for the Cadiz vs Leganes prediction. The listed bookmaker odds were used as the base. After removing the bookmaker margin, the implied probabilities are around 28.8% for Cadiz, 38.1% for the draw and 33.1% for Leganes.

Adjusting those numbers for the recent form, the head-to-head record and the home factor gives the final win probability:

• Cadiz win probability: 28%
• Draw probability: 37%
• Leganes win probability: 35%

Leganes is the more likely team to win, but the draw is the single most likely match outcome. Cadiz still has home advantage at Estadio Ramón de Carranza, but their recent form is weak.

Odds & Betting Tips for Cadiz vs Leganes

The odds for the match range across the listed bookmakers. Home odds for Cadiz are between 2.87 and 3.20. Draw odds are between 2.02 and 3.15. Away odds for Leganes are between 2.54 and 2.72. Bookmakers see Leganes as the favorite to win among the teams, with away odds as low as 2.54.

Based on the stats, the best Cadiz vs Leganes betting tips point to a tight Segunda match. Leganes has a small edge on the table and form, but Cadiz won the last head-to-head game 3-0. The final match prediction is Leganes or draw on the double chance, with the draw being a strong possibility.