Calor de San Pedro - Guerreros de Puebla prediction 21/10/2026

Calor de San Pedro vs Guerreros de Puebla prediction for the Liga Premier Serie A match on October 21, 2026, at 18:30. Based on the odds, recent form, and league standings, Guerreros de Puebla enters as the slight favorite with a 35% win probability, while Calor de San Pedro has a 32% chance and the draw sits at 33%. This is a close contest between two teams outside the top 12 of the table.

Team Form

Calor de San Pedro comes into this match with inconsistent results: two wins, two losses, and one draw in their last five outings. They lost 1-2 at home to Deportivo Delfines de Coatzacoalcos, then crushed Canoneros Marina 7-1 away, but suffered a heavy 0-7 defeat at Halcones Negros. A 4-0 home win over Ciervos and a 0-0 draw at Real Refineros Cds show their unpredictable nature. They have scored 12 goals and conceded 10 in these five matches.

Guerreros de Puebla also show mixed form with two wins, two losses, and one draw in their last five. They drew 3-3 at Real Refineros Cds, lost 1-5 at Dragones de Oaxaca, beat Tehuacan 4-2 at home (in Liga TDP), won 2-0 at Canoneros Marina, and lost 0-4 at Universidad del Golfo de Mexico (Liga TDP). Across all competitions, they have netted 10 goals and allowed 14 in this stretch.

Head-to-Head Record

There is no head-to-head history between Calor de San Pedro and Guerreros de Puebla. This will be their first meeting, so no past results can guide the prediction. The lack of H2H data adds uncertainty to the betting tips.

League Table Positions

Neither Calor de San Pedro nor Guerreros de Puebla appear in the top 12 of the Liga Premier Serie A overall standings, nor in the home or away top 8. This indicates both clubs are in the lower half of the table, making this a battle between two sides looking to climb. The home advantage could play a role, but the odds suggest a very even matchup.

Win Probability: Calor de San Pedro or Guerreros de Puebla?

After analyzing the available data, we calculate the win probabilities as follows: Calor de San Pedro 32%, draw 33%, Guerreros de Puebla 35%. These numbers come from averaging the implied probabilities of two bookmakers' odds (after removing the margin) and adjusting slightly for home advantage and recent form. The first bookmaker priced Guerreros de Puebla as the clear favorite at 2.10, while the second saw Calor de San Pedro as the favorite at 2.50. The blended view gives a marginal edge to the away team. The draw also has a strong chance, reflecting the inconsistency of both sides. So, who will win? The stats point to a tight match with Guerreros de Puebla having a slightly higher chance, but a draw is almost equally likely.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers are divided on this match. One offers odds of 3.20 for a Calor de San Pedro win, 2.95 for the draw, and 2.10 for a Guerreros de Puebla victory. Another lists 2.50, 2.60, and 3.10 respectively. This split shows the market sees no clear favorite. Our Calor de San Pedro vs Guerreros de Puebla prediction, based on the stats, is a low-scoring affair with a slight lean toward the away side. The betting tips suggest considering the draw or a narrow Guerreros de Puebla win, but the high probability of a stalemate makes the 1X2 market risky.