Catania - Cosenza prediction 07/09/2026

Our Catania vs Cosenza prediction for the Serie C match on Sep 07 at 18:30 is here. Catania is the favorite with a 52% win probability, while Cosenza has a 24% chance and the draw sits at 24%. The game will be played at Stadio Angelo Massimino in Catania, Italy.

Team Form

Catania comes into this match in poor shape. Their last five results are L, L, L, L, D. The most recent was a 0-3 home loss to Savoia 1908 FC in the Coppa Serie C on Sep 02. Before that they lost 0-2 away to AC Monopoli in Serie C, fell 1-2 at home to Inter Milan U23, and suffered defeats against Parma and a draw with Vicenza in the Cup. They have not won any of these five games.

Cosenza's form is also weak with results of L, L, L, W, L. They lost 0-1 away to ASD Sorrento 1945 in the Coppa Serie C on Sep 02. In Serie C they lost 1-2 at home to Potenza and 1-3 away to Audace Cerignola. Their only win in this run was a 2-0 victory away to Crotone in the Coppa Serie C. The last match of the previous season was a heavy 1-5 home defeat to S.S.D. Casarano Calcio.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between Catania and Cosenza shows 1 Catania win, 2 draws, and 4 Cosenza wins in their last 7 meetings. The most recent match was on Jan 25, 2026, when Catania won 2-0 at home in Serie C. Earlier in the 2025-26 season, Cosenza won 4-1 at home on Sep 14, 2025. In 2018 they drew 2-2 twice, and in the 2017 Coppa Serie C, Cosenza won 2-1 away.

League Table Positions

Neither Catania nor Cosenza appears in the top 12 of the current Serie C overall standings. The table is led by Dolomiti Bellunesi with 7 points from 3 games. The home standings show Juventus U23 at the top, and the away table has Dolomiti Bellunesi leading. With both teams outside the early top positions, this match is a chance for either side to gain ground.

Win Probability: Catania or Cosenza?

Based on the odds, recent form, and head-to-head record, we calculate the win probability for this match as follows: Catania has a 52% chance to win, the draw is at 24%, and Cosenza has a 24% chance. The bookmakers' average odds of around 1.52 for a Catania win imply a high probability, which we adjusted slightly downward due to their very poor recent form. Cosenza's away win at Crotone shows they can perform on the road, but their overall form is also weak. The head-to-head record favors Cosenza historically, but Catania won the most recent meeting at this stadium. Home advantage at Stadio Angelo Massimino gives Catania the edge, making them the more likely winner.

Odds & Match Prediction

The available odds for this Serie C match show Catania as the clear favorite. The 1X2 market has home win odds ranging from 1.47 to 1.55, the draw from 2.10 to 3.78, and an away win for Cosenza from 5.00 to 6.56. These odds reflect the bookmakers' view that Catania is the most probable winner. Our Catania vs Cosenza prediction aligns with this: Catania to win is the most likely outcome, but given both teams' poor form, a low-scoring game is possible. Based on the stats, the betting tip is a home win, but the value might be in the draw odds if you expect a tight contest.