Juticalpa - CD Marathon prediction 20/09/2026

Our Juticalpa vs CD Marathon prediction for the Liga Nacional match on Sep 21, 2026, points to a clear away favorite. CD Marathon has a 70% chance of winning, the draw is at 20%, and Juticalpa has a 10% chance. The game kicks off at 01:30 local time.

Team Form

Juticalpa comes into this match in poor form. Their last five results are L, L, W, L, L. They lost 2-1 to CA Independiente Siguatepeque on Sep 14, and suffered a 3-0 home defeat to Genesis PN on Sep 07. Their only win in this run was a 1-0 home victory over Lobos UPNFM on Aug 29.

CD Marathon is in excellent form. Their last five results are W, W, W, D, W. They beat Olimpia Tegucigalpa 1-0 on Sep 13, crushed CD Estrella Roja 5-0 on Sep 06, and won 2-1 at Genesis PN on Aug 29. The only minor slip was a 1-1 draw with Real Espana on Aug 23.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record heavily favors CD Marathon. In 28 meetings, CD Marathon has 16 wins, Juticalpa has 6 wins, and there have been 6 draws. The last five matches show CD Marathon's dominance: a 4-0 away win on Mar 18, 2026, a 3-0 home win on Jan 29, 2026, a 3-1 away win on Oct 04, 2025, a 7-0 home win on Jul 27, 2025, and a 4-0 home win on Mar 06, 2025. Juticalpa has not scored against CD Marathon in the last four meetings.

League Table Positions

CD Marathon sits 2nd in the Liga Nacional overall table with 17 points from 7 games (5 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses). They have scored 12 goals and conceded only 3. Juticalpa is 12th and last with just 3 points from 7 games (1 win, 6 losses), scoring 5 and conceding 17. The gap in quality is huge. CD Marathon is also strong away from home, ranked 1st in the away table with 7 points from 3 games.

Win Probability: Juticalpa or CD Marathon?

Based on the available odds, team form, head-to-head record, and league table positions, we calculate the win probability as follows: CD Marathon 70%, draw 20%, Juticalpa 10%. The bookmakers' average odds (inverse, margin removed) give CD Marathon around a 52% base chance, but their perfect away record, Juticalpa's terrible form, and the 16-6 H2H advantage push the real probability much higher. Juticalpa has lost 6 of 7 league games and has not beaten CD Marathon in recent memory. The draw is a small possibility, but CD Marathon is the clear favorite to win.

Odds & Match Prediction

The best available odds for this match are: Juticalpa win at 6.26, draw at 4.12, and CD Marathon win at 1.54. Bookmakers see CD Marathon as the strong favorite. Our Juticalpa vs CD Marathon prediction is an away win. The stats, the H2H record, and the current form all point to CD Marathon taking all three points. A bet on CD Marathon to win is the safest option, while a correct score bet on 2-0 or 3-0 for CD Marathon could offer value given Juticalpa's struggles in front of goal.